Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote against limited challengers, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner in New York’s 14th district. The area’s strong Democratic voter base in parts of Queens and the Bronx has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, reinforced by Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and turnout in this safely blue seat. Trader pricing at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-14
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-14
$43,272 Vol.
$43,272 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
6%
$43,272 Vol.
$43,272 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$29,734 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$13,538 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote against limited challengers, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner in New York’s 14th district. The area’s strong Democratic voter base in parts of Queens and the Bronx has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, reinforced by Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and turnout in this safely blue seat. Trader pricing at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$43,272Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote against limited challengers, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner in New York’s 14th district. The area’s strong Democratic voter base in parts of Queens and the Bronx has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, reinforced by Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and turnout in this safely blue seat. Trader pricing at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,272Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary with roughly 87 percent of the vote against limited challengers, positioning her as the clear general election frontrunner in New York’s 14th district. The area’s strong Democratic voter base in parts of Queens and the Bronx has produced consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, reinforced by Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and similar assessments from other forecasters. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and turnout in this safely blue seat. Trader pricing at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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