The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th congressional district, combined with the June 2026 top-two primary results that advanced only Democratic candidates Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres to the November general election, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. The seat, encompassing downtown Los Angeles, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, with no Republican nominee qualifying for the ballot. Incumbency advantages, limited outside spending, and historical re-election patterns for sitting House members in safe districts reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain remote and would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate disqualifications, health events, or extraordinary shifts in voter turnout within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-34 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-34 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$49,510 Vol.
$49,510 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
<1%
$49,510 Vol.
$49,510 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$20,215 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$29,295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th congressional district, combined with the June 2026 top-two primary results that advanced only Democratic candidates Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres to the November general election, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. The seat, encompassing downtown Los Angeles, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, with no Republican nominee qualifying for the ballot. Incumbency advantages, limited outside spending, and historical re-election patterns for sitting House members in safe districts reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain remote and would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate disqualifications, health events, or extraordinary shifts in voter turnout within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$49,510Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th congressional district, combined with the June 2026 top-two primary results that advanced only Democratic candidates Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres to the November general election, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. The seat, encompassing downtown Los Angeles, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, with no Republican nominee qualifying for the ballot. Incumbency advantages, limited outside spending, and historical re-election patterns for sitting House members in safe districts reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain remote and would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate disqualifications, health events, or extraordinary shifts in voter turnout within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,510Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th congressional district, combined with the June 2026 top-two primary results that advanced only Democratic candidates Jimmy Gomez and Angela Gonzales-Torres to the November general election, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic hold. The seat, encompassing downtown Los Angeles, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles, with no Republican nominee qualifying for the ballot. Incumbency advantages, limited outside spending, and historical re-election patterns for sitting House members in safe districts reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain remote and would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate disqualifications, health events, or extraordinary shifts in voter turnout within the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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