Incumbent Republican Representative María Elvira Salazar is seeking re-election in Florida’s 27th congressional district, a Miami-area seat that has leaned Republican in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 75.5% for the Republican nominee reflects her established incumbency, name recognition, and ongoing legislative activity on immigration reform and housing policy. A Republican primary against challenger V. Michael Arias is scheduled for August 18, 2026, with no prominent Democratic contender generating comparable visibility. The 25% Democratic implied probability accounts for the district’s sizable Cuban-American electorate and potential turnout shifts, though structural partisan patterns and Salazar’s committee roles continue to anchor current pricing ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-27
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-27
$15,809 Vol.
$15,809 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
76%
Parti démocrate
25%
$15,809 Vol.
$15,809 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$7,587 Vol.
76%
Parti démocrate
$8,223 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Representative María Elvira Salazar is seeking re-election in Florida’s 27th congressional district, a Miami-area seat that has leaned Republican in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 75.5% for the Republican nominee reflects her established incumbency, name recognition, and ongoing legislative activity on immigration reform and housing policy. A Republican primary against challenger V. Michael Arias is scheduled for August 18, 2026, with no prominent Democratic contender generating comparable visibility. The 25% Democratic implied probability accounts for the district’s sizable Cuban-American electorate and potential turnout shifts, though structural partisan patterns and Salazar’s committee roles continue to anchor current pricing ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$15,809Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Representative María Elvira Salazar is seeking re-election in Florida’s 27th congressional district, a Miami-area seat that has leaned Republican in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 75.5% for the Republican nominee reflects her established incumbency, name recognition, and ongoing legislative activity on immigration reform and housing policy. A Republican primary against challenger V. Michael Arias is scheduled for August 18, 2026, with no prominent Democratic contender generating comparable visibility. The 25% Democratic implied probability accounts for the district’s sizable Cuban-American electorate and potential turnout shifts, though structural partisan patterns and Salazar’s committee roles continue to anchor current pricing ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,809Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Representative María Elvira Salazar is seeking re-election in Florida’s 27th congressional district, a Miami-area seat that has leaned Republican in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 75.5% for the Republican nominee reflects her established incumbency, name recognition, and ongoing legislative activity on immigration reform and housing policy. A Republican primary against challenger V. Michael Arias is scheduled for August 18, 2026, with no prominent Democratic contender generating comparable visibility. The 25% Democratic implied probability accounts for the district’s sizable Cuban-American electorate and potential turnout shifts, though structural partisan patterns and Salazar’s committee roles continue to anchor current pricing ahead of the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes