**Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and favored Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump by roughly 12 points in 2024, consistent with its South Jersey base spanning Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem, and parts of Gloucester and Ocean counties. Van Drew, who switched parties in 2019, advanced unopposed in the Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. On the Democratic side, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with about 40% of the vote against a fragmented field that included Tim Alexander and Bayly Winder. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, while Decision Desk HQ rates it Likely Republican. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability. An independent candidate, Ramon Mora Jr., appears on the general-election ballot but is not viewed as a major factor. With the general election still more than two months away, limited new polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to alter the established partisan baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNJ-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NJ-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$25,283 Vol.
$25,283 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
82%
Parti démocrate
19%
$25,283 Vol.
$25,283 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$12,968 Vol.
82%
Parti démocrate
$12,315 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and favored Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump by roughly 12 points in 2024, consistent with its South Jersey base spanning Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem, and parts of Gloucester and Ocean counties.
Van Drew, who switched parties in 2019, advanced unopposed in the Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. On the Democratic side, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with about 40% of the vote against a fragmented field that included Tim Alexander and Bayly Winder. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, while Decision Desk HQ rates it Likely Republican.
These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability. An independent candidate, Ramon Mora Jr., appears on the general-election ballot but is not viewed as a major factor. With the general election still more than two months away, limited new polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to alter the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$25,283Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and favored Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump by roughly 12 points in 2024, consistent with its South Jersey base spanning Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem, and parts of Gloucester and Ocean counties.
Van Drew, who switched parties in 2019, advanced unopposed in the Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. On the Democratic side, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with about 40% of the vote against a fragmented field that included Tim Alexander and Bayly Winder. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, while Decision Desk HQ rates it Likely Republican.
These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability. An independent candidate, Ramon Mora Jr., appears on the general-election ballot but is not viewed as a major factor. With the general election still more than two months away, limited new polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to alter the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,283Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and favored Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump by roughly 12 points in 2024, consistent with its South Jersey base spanning Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem, and parts of Gloucester and Ocean counties. Van Drew, who switched parties in 2019, advanced unopposed in the Republican primary and benefits from established name recognition and fundraising. On the Democratic side, Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock secured the nomination in the June 2 primary with about 40% of the vote against a fragmented field that included Tim Alexander and Bayly Winder. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, while Decision Desk HQ rates it Likely Republican. These factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability. An independent candidate, Ramon Mora Jr., appears on the general-election ballot but is not viewed as a major factor. With the general election still more than two months away, limited new polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to alter the established partisan baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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