Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen’s established position in Washington’s 2nd congressional district drives the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic Party. The district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates, reinforced by Larsen’s 2024 general-election margin above 25 points, shapes trader assessments ahead of the November 2026 vote. Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, confirming a head-to-head matchup without stronger challengers emerging. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical patterns and limited polling indicating double-digit advantages. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district’s structural lean.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$16,475 Vol.
$16,475 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$16,475 Vol.
$16,475 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$11,155 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$5,321 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen’s established position in Washington’s 2nd congressional district drives the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic Party. The district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates, reinforced by Larsen’s 2024 general-election margin above 25 points, shapes trader assessments ahead of the November 2026 vote. Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, confirming a head-to-head matchup without stronger challengers emerging. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical patterns and limited polling indicating double-digit advantages. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$16,475Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen’s established position in Washington’s 2nd congressional district drives the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic Party. The district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates, reinforced by Larsen’s 2024 general-election margin above 25 points, shapes trader assessments ahead of the November 2026 vote. Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, confirming a head-to-head matchup without stronger challengers emerging. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical patterns and limited polling indicating double-digit advantages. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,475Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Rick Larsen’s established position in Washington’s 2nd congressional district drives the market’s heavy tilt toward the Democratic Party. The district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates, reinforced by Larsen’s 2024 general-election margin above 25 points, shapes trader assessments ahead of the November 2026 vote. Larsen and Republican Edwin Feller advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, confirming a head-to-head matchup without stronger challengers emerging. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical patterns and limited polling indicating double-digit advantages. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district’s structural lean.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes