Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in the August 2026 primary, defeating Cori Bush and other challengers by a wide margin. The district’s deep Democratic lean, encompassing St. Louis and surrounding areas with a partisan advantage exceeding D+50, has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Paul Berry. Trader consensus at 97.6% for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting Bell, unusually depressed Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$36,818 Vol.
$36,818 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
98%
Parti républicain
3%
$36,818 Vol.
$36,818 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$22,847 Vol.
98%
Parti républicain
$13,971 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in the August 2026 primary, defeating Cori Bush and other challengers by a wide margin. The district’s deep Democratic lean, encompassing St. Louis and surrounding areas with a partisan advantage exceeding D+50, has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Paul Berry. Trader consensus at 97.6% for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting Bell, unusually depressed Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,818Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in the August 2026 primary, defeating Cori Bush and other challengers by a wide margin. The district’s deep Democratic lean, encompassing St. Louis and surrounding areas with a partisan advantage exceeding D+50, has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Paul Berry. Trader consensus at 97.6% for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting Bell, unusually depressed Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,818Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in the August 2026 primary, defeating Cori Bush and other challengers by a wide margin. The district’s deep Democratic lean, encompassing St. Louis and surrounding areas with a partisan advantage exceeding D+50, has produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Paul Berry. Trader consensus at 97.6% for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting Bell, unusually depressed Democratic turnout, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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