Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff leads the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with traders assigning his party an 85% probability of victory. Early polling averages show Ossoff ahead of leading Republican primary contenders by 4 to 8 points in hypothetical general-election matchups. The Republican primary on May 19 produced a June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley after no candidate reached a majority, leaving the GOP nominee unsettled less than five months before the November general election. Ossoff faces no Democratic primary opposition, providing a clear organizational and fundraising edge typical of incumbents in battleground states. These dynamics, combined with Georgia’s recent electoral volatility, underpin the current market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$27,295 Vol.
$27,295 Vol.

Démocrate
85%

Républicain
14%
$27,295 Vol.
$27,295 Vol.

Démocrate
85%

Républicain
14%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff leads the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with traders assigning his party an 85% probability of victory. Early polling averages show Ossoff ahead of leading Republican primary contenders by 4 to 8 points in hypothetical general-election matchups. The Republican primary on May 19 produced a June 16 runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley after no candidate reached a majority, leaving the GOP nominee unsettled less than five months before the November general election. Ossoff faces no Democratic primary opposition, providing a clear organizational and fundraising edge typical of incumbents in battleground states. These dynamics, combined with Georgia’s recent electoral volatility, underpin the current market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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