Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in Senate contests, reinforced by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races and the state's conservative voter base, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned to pursue a federal appointment, with appointed Senator Alan Armstrong ineligible to run for a full term. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Kevin Hern who leads recent polling, compete ahead of the June 16 contest, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility. Historical turnout patterns and limited crossover voting in this solidly Republican state limit paths for a Democratic upset, though a divisive GOP nominee or unexpected national political shifts could narrow the margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
93%
Démocrate
7%
$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$8,923 Vol.
93%
Démocrate
$5,669 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in Senate contests, reinforced by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races and the state's conservative voter base, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned to pursue a federal appointment, with appointed Senator Alan Armstrong ineligible to run for a full term. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Kevin Hern who leads recent polling, compete ahead of the June 16 contest, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility. Historical turnout patterns and limited crossover voting in this solidly Republican state limit paths for a Democratic upset, though a divisive GOP nominee or unexpected national political shifts could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,591Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in Senate contests, reinforced by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races and the state's conservative voter base, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned to pursue a federal appointment, with appointed Senator Alan Armstrong ineligible to run for a full term. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Kevin Hern who leads recent polling, compete ahead of the June 16 contest, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility. Historical turnout patterns and limited crossover voting in this solidly Republican state limit paths for a Democratic upset, though a divisive GOP nominee or unexpected national political shifts could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,591Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in Senate contests, reinforced by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races and the state's conservative voter base, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. The seat became open after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned to pursue a federal appointment, with appointed Senator Alan Armstrong ineligible to run for a full term. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Kevin Hern who leads recent polling, compete ahead of the June 16 contest, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented with limited statewide visibility. Historical turnout patterns and limited crossover voting in this solidly Republican state limit paths for a Democratic upset, though a divisive GOP nominee or unexpected national political shifts could narrow the margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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