Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of homeland security, with appointed interim senator Alan Armstrong declining to run for a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 will select from several candidates, including U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who leads recent polling by double digits and enters the general election as the clear favorite in a state with a strong Republican partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic primary contenders lack comparable name recognition or fundraising. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner aligns with these structural advantages. A Republican nominee scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or unexpected national political shift remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
92%
Démocrate
7%
$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$8,923 Vol.
92%
Démocrate
$5,669 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of homeland security, with appointed interim senator Alan Armstrong declining to run for a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 will select from several candidates, including U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who leads recent polling by double digits and enters the general election as the clear favorite in a state with a strong Republican partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic primary contenders lack comparable name recognition or fundraising. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner aligns with these structural advantages. A Republican nominee scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or unexpected national political shift remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,591Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of homeland security, with appointed interim senator Alan Armstrong declining to run for a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 will select from several candidates, including U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who leads recent polling by double digits and enters the general election as the clear favorite in a state with a strong Republican partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic primary contenders lack comparable name recognition or fundraising. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner aligns with these structural advantages. A Republican nominee scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or unexpected national political shift remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,591Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race features an open seat after Markwayne Mullin's resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of homeland security, with appointed interim senator Alan Armstrong declining to run for a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 will select from several candidates, including U.S. Representative Kevin Hern, who leads recent polling by double digits and enters the general election as the clear favorite in a state with a strong Republican partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic primary contenders lack comparable name recognition or fundraising. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner aligns with these structural advantages. A Republican nominee scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or unexpected national political shift remain the main variables that could narrow the margin before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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