Oklahoma’s longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate races, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general election winner. The March 2026 resignation of incumbent Markwayne Mullin to join the Trump administration created an open seat filled temporarily by appointee Alan Armstrong, who is ineligible for the full term; this has concentrated Republican primary attention on established candidates such as U.S. Representative Kevin Hern ahead of the June 16 contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, while Democratic primary contenders operate in a low-turnout environment with limited statewide infrastructure. A late Republican primary upset or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns and current fundraising trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
92%
Démocrate
7%
$14,591 Vol.
$14,591 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$8,923 Vol.
92%
Démocrate
$5,669 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma’s longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate races, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general election winner. The March 2026 resignation of incumbent Markwayne Mullin to join the Trump administration created an open seat filled temporarily by appointee Alan Armstrong, who is ineligible for the full term; this has concentrated Republican primary attention on established candidates such as U.S. Representative Kevin Hern ahead of the June 16 contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, while Democratic primary contenders operate in a low-turnout environment with limited statewide infrastructure. A late Republican primary upset or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns and current fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,591Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma’s longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate races, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general election winner. The March 2026 resignation of incumbent Markwayne Mullin to join the Trump administration created an open seat filled temporarily by appointee Alan Armstrong, who is ineligible for the full term; this has concentrated Republican primary attention on established candidates such as U.S. Representative Kevin Hern ahead of the June 16 contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, while Democratic primary contenders operate in a low-turnout environment with limited statewide infrastructure. A late Republican primary upset or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns and current fundraising trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$14,591Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent Senate races, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general election winner. The March 2026 resignation of incumbent Markwayne Mullin to join the Trump administration created an open seat filled temporarily by appointee Alan Armstrong, who is ineligible for the full term; this has concentrated Republican primary attention on established candidates such as U.S. Representative Kevin Hern ahead of the June 16 contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, while Democratic primary contenders operate in a low-turnout environment with limited statewide infrastructure. A late Republican primary upset or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns and current fundraising trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes