Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026 with sharply divergent opening proposals, including the league’s call for a hard salary cap and floor alongside a 50-50 revenue split. The MLB Players Association countered with higher minimum salaries, a soft spending floor on low-payroll clubs, and no cap, leaving the sides described as far apart on core economic issues. Historical precedent from the 2022 lockout, which delayed spring training for 99 days before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that an agreement will not be reached by the December 1 expiration. With both sides posturing publicly and no compromise signals yet, the current implied probability for no deal by the deadline reflects the likelihood of an impasse and subsequent lockout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026 with sharply divergent opening proposals, including the league’s call for a hard salary cap and floor alongside a 50-50 revenue split. The MLB Players Association countered with higher minimum salaries, a soft spending floor on low-payroll clubs, and no cap, leaving the sides described as far apart on core economic issues. Historical precedent from the 2022 lockout, which delayed spring training for 99 days before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that an agreement will not be reached by the December 1 expiration. With both sides posturing publicly and no compromise signals yet, the current implied probability for no deal by the deadline reflects the likelihood of an impasse and subsequent lockout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volume
$6,183Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026 with sharply divergent opening proposals, including the league’s call for a hard salary cap and floor alongside a 50-50 revenue split. The MLB Players Association countered with higher minimum salaries, a soft spending floor on low-payroll clubs, and no cap, leaving the sides described as far apart on core economic issues. Historical precedent from the 2022 lockout, which delayed spring training for 99 days before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that an agreement will not be reached by the December 1 expiration. With both sides posturing publicly and no compromise signals yet, the current implied probability for no deal by the deadline reflects the likelihood of an impasse and subsequent lockout.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026 with sharply divergent opening proposals, including the league’s call for a hard salary cap and floor alongside a 50-50 revenue split. The MLB Players Association countered with higher minimum salaries, a soft spending floor on low-payroll clubs, and no cap, leaving the sides described as far apart on core economic issues. Historical precedent from the 2022 lockout, which delayed spring training for 99 days before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that an agreement will not be reached by the December 1 expiration. With both sides posturing publicly and no compromise signals yet, the current implied probability for no deal by the deadline reflects the likelihood of an impasse and subsequent lockout.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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