Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next permanent manager, reflecting his seamless promotion from Castilla coach in January 2026 following Xabi Alonso's abrupt Supercopa de España final exit and mutual departure after seven months. However, Arbeloa faces mounting pressure from a winless streak in key fixtures, including a home loss to Getafe in March and recent Champions League elimination, eroding confidence in his tenure. José Mourinho surges to 31.5% on fresh reports of Florentino Pérez's keen interest and the Portuguese's openness to a sensational Bernabéu return from Benfica, citing his prior La Liga title and club pedigree. Mauricio Pochettino (21.8%) and Jürgen Klopp (18.0%) gain traction as free agents with Premier League pedigree and high-pressing styles suited to Madrid's squad dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJose Mourinho 32%
Mauricio Pochettino 22.9%
Jurgen Klopp 18%
Unai Emery 11%
$34,701 Vol.
$34,701 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
32%
Mauricio Pochettino
18%
Jurgen Klopp
18%
Unai Emery
11%
Massimiliano Allegri
7%
Enzo Maresca
19%
Luis Enrique
5%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Didier Deschamps
5%
Andoni Iraola
3%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
Jose Mourinho 32%
Mauricio Pochettino 22.9%
Jurgen Klopp 18%
Unai Emery 11%
$34,701 Vol.
$34,701 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
32%
Mauricio Pochettino
18%
Jurgen Klopp
18%
Unai Emery
11%
Massimiliano Allegri
7%
Enzo Maresca
19%
Luis Enrique
5%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Didier Deschamps
5%
Andoni Iraola
3%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next permanent manager, reflecting his seamless promotion from Castilla coach in January 2026 following Xabi Alonso's abrupt Supercopa de España final exit and mutual departure after seven months. However, Arbeloa faces mounting pressure from a winless streak in key fixtures, including a home loss to Getafe in March and recent Champions League elimination, eroding confidence in his tenure. José Mourinho surges to 31.5% on fresh reports of Florentino Pérez's keen interest and the Portuguese's openness to a sensational Bernabéu return from Benfica, citing his prior La Liga title and club pedigree. Mauricio Pochettino (21.8%) and Jürgen Klopp (18.0%) gain traction as free agents with Premier League pedigree and high-pressing styles suited to Madrid's squad dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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