Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects balanced positioning around Netflix (NFLX) share price stability in the $90-$100 range at 50% implied probability, closely matched by upside to $120-$130 and downside to $50-$60, amid pre-earnings uncertainty for the week ending April 10. Recent March 26 North American price hikes (~10%) underscore pricing power, potentially adding $1.7 billion in 2026 revenue while ad-tier subscribers approach 40 million, doubling ad revenue to $3 billion per FY26 guidance. However, escalating content costs from NFL live sports expansion ($75 million per game) and an Italian court ruling mandating price rollbacks and refunds introduce margin risks. Competitive pressures from Disney's IP moat intensify, with analyst consensus targets averaging $115-$120 signaling modest upside potential ahead of April 16 Q1 earnings release. Volatility benchmarks like implied move of ±7% highlight key swing factors in subscriber growth, ARPU, and churn metrics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<$50 99%
>$140 97%
$50-$60 50%
$70-$80 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 avr. 2026
<$50
99%
$50-$60
50%
$60-$70
47%
$70-$80
50%
$80-$90
49%
$90-$100
49%
$100-$110
50%
$110-$120
49%
$120-$130
49%
$130-$140
50%
>$140
97%
<$50 99%
>$140 97%
$50-$60 50%
$70-$80 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 avr. 2026
<$50
$25 Vol.
99%
$50-$60
$0 Vol.
50%
$60-$70
$0 Vol.
47%
$70-$80
$0 Vol.
50%
$80-$90
$0 Vol.
49%
$90-$100
$0 Vol.
49%
$100-$110
$0 Vol.
50%
$110-$120
$0 Vol.
49%
$120-$130
$0 Vol.
49%
$130-$140
$0 Vol.
50%
>$140
$25 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects balanced positioning around Netflix (NFLX) share price stability in the $90-$100 range at 50% implied probability, closely matched by upside to $120-$130 and downside to $50-$60, amid pre-earnings uncertainty for the week ending April 10. Recent March 26 North American price hikes (~10%) underscore pricing power, potentially adding $1.7 billion in 2026 revenue while ad-tier subscribers approach 40 million, doubling ad revenue to $3 billion per FY26 guidance. However, escalating content costs from NFL live sports expansion ($75 million per game) and an Italian court ruling mandating price rollbacks and refunds introduce margin risks. Competitive pressures from Disney's IP moat intensify, with analyst consensus targets averaging $115-$120 signaling modest upside potential ahead of April 16 Q1 earnings release. Volatility benchmarks like implied move of ±7% highlight key swing factors in subscriber growth, ARPU, and churn metrics.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$50Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:17 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects balanced positioning around Netflix (NFLX) share price stability in the $90-$100 range at 50% implied probability, closely matched by upside to $120-$130 and downside to $50-$60, amid pre-earnings uncertainty for the week ending April 10. Recent March 26 North American price hikes (~10%) underscore pricing power, potentially adding $1.7 billion in 2026 revenue while ad-tier subscribers approach 40 million, doubling ad revenue to $3 billion per FY26 guidance. However, escalating content costs from NFL live sports expansion ($75 million per game) and an Italian court ruling mandating price rollbacks and refunds introduce margin risks. Competitive pressures from Disney's IP moat intensify, with analyst consensus targets averaging $115-$120 signaling modest upside potential ahead of April 16 Q1 earnings release. Volatility benchmarks like implied move of ±7% highlight key swing factors in subscriber growth, ARPU, and churn metrics.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$50Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 6:17 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects balanced positioning around Netflix (NFLX) share price stability in the $90-$100 range at 50% implied probability, closely matched by upside to $120-$130 and downside to $50-$60, amid pre-earnings uncertainty for the week ending April 10. Recent March 26 North American price hikes (~10%) underscore pricing power, potentially adding $1.7 billion in 2026 revenue while ad-tier subscribers approach 40 million, doubling ad revenue to $3 billion per FY26 guidance. However, escalating content costs from NFL live sports expansion ($75 million per game) and an Italian court ruling mandating price rollbacks and refunds introduce margin risks. Competitive pressures from Disney's IP moat intensify, with analyst consensus targets averaging $115-$120 signaling modest upside potential ahead of April 16 Q1 earnings release. Volatility benchmarks like implied move of ±7% highlight key swing factors in subscriber growth, ARPU, and churn metrics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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