Trader consensus favors 17.5-18 million TSA-screened passengers for March 23-29 at 49%, reflecting steady spring break demand winding down ahead of Easter on March 31. Recent TSA data shows the prior week (March 16-22) totaling about 17.8 million, with daily peaks near 2.6 million on Fridays amid favorable weather and robust airline schedules. No major disruptions like strikes or severe storms have emerged, supporting 18-18.5 million (32.5%) as the next likely bin. Historical spring weeks average 17-19 million, but economic softening in consumer travel spending tempers bets above 19 million. Upcoming Good Friday travel could push totals higher if volumes hold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour17.5-18m 54%
18-18.5m 33%
<17.5m 29%
18.5-19m 29%
$17,378 Vol.
$17,378 Vol.
<17.5m
29%
17.5-18m
54%
18-18.5m
33%
18.5-19m
29%
19-19.5m
26%
>19.5m
26%
17.5-18m 54%
18-18.5m 33%
<17.5m 29%
18.5-19m 29%
$17,378 Vol.
$17,378 Vol.
<17.5m
29%
17.5-18m
54%
18-18.5m
33%
18.5-19m
29%
19-19.5m
26%
>19.5m
26%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 17.5-18 million TSA-screened passengers for March 23-29 at 49%, reflecting steady spring break demand winding down ahead of Easter on March 31. Recent TSA data shows the prior week (March 16-22) totaling about 17.8 million, with daily peaks near 2.6 million on Fridays amid favorable weather and robust airline schedules. No major disruptions like strikes or severe storms have emerged, supporting 18-18.5 million (32.5%) as the next likely bin. Historical spring weeks average 17-19 million, but economic softening in consumer travel spending tempers bets above 19 million. Upcoming Good Friday travel could push totals higher if volumes hold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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