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Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

Market icon

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

>5,000 99.6%

4,000-4,500 1.1%

4,500-5,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,113 Vol.

>5,000 99.6%

4,000-4,500 1.1%

4,500-5,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,113 Vol.

<2,000

$397 Vol.

<1%

2,000-2,500

$612 Vol.

<1%

2,500-3,000

$343 Vol.

<1%

3,000-3,500

$245 Vol.

<1%

3,500-4,000

$592 Vol.

<1%

4,000-4,500

$343 Vol.

1%

4,500-5,000

$175 Vol.

1%

>5,000

$408 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary data logging 5,952 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1 has locked in trader consensus at 99.6% for over 5,000 delays, driven by FAA warnings of low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting major hubs like Boston (BOS), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington-area airports, Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas facilities, plus wind in Las Vegas (LAS). FAA arrival restrictions at San Francisco (SFO)—cutting capacity up to 33% for runway repaving and safety—along with forecasted ground delays at Chicago O'Hare (ORD), LaGuardia (LGA), Reagan National (DCA), and others exacerbated nationwide backups. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, typically confirming 15+ minute delays, could trim the count marginally via revised criteria or exclusions, but a plunge below 5,000 remains a remote outlier scenario.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$3,113
Date de fin
1 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware's preliminary data logging 5,952 delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1 has locked in trader consensus at 99.6% for over 5,000 delays, driven by FAA warnings of low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms disrupting major hubs like Boston (BOS), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington-area airports, Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas facilities, plus wind in Las Vegas (LAS). FAA arrival restrictions at San Francisco (SFO)—cutting capacity up to 33% for runway repaving and safety—along with forecasted ground delays at Chicago O'Hare (ORD), LaGuardia (LGA), Reagan National (DCA), and others exacerbated nationwide backups. Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, typically confirming 15+ minute delays, could trim the count marginally via revised criteria or exclusions, but a plunge below 5,000 remains a remote outlier scenario.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$3,113
Date de fin
1 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

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Questions fréquentes

« Number of US Flights Delayed April 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « >5,000 » à 100%, suivi de « 4,000-4,500 » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Number of US Flights Delayed April 1? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Number of US Flights Delayed April 1? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Number of US Flights Delayed April 1? » est « >5,000 » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 4,000-4,500 » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Number of US Flights Delayed April 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.