Persistent spring weather volatility, highlighted by the FAA's April 8 air traffic report warning of thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at major hubs like Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), Denver (DEN), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), and Seattle (SEA), keeps April 10 delay forecasts uncertain amid recent patterns of 4,600-5,600 daily disruptions. FlightAware data shows 4,647 US delays on April 8, down from over 5,600 during Easter weekend storms but above typical mid-week levels due to ongoing operational strains and variable storm tracks. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,500-7,000 at 41% implied probabilities, reflecting balanced risks from potential FAA ground stops or intensifying severe weather versus clearing skies and lighter volumes; late updates on Central US thunderstorms could tip outcomes higher or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<4,000 40%
4,000-4,500 40%
4,500-5,000 40%
5,000-5,500 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 avr. 2026
<4,000
40%
4,000-4,500
40%
4,500-5,000
40%
5,000-5,500
40%
5,500-6,000
40%
6,000-6,500
40%
6,500-7,000
40%
>7,000
40%
<4,000 40%
4,000-4,500 40%
4,500-5,000 40%
5,000-5,500 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 avr. 2026
<4,000
$0 Vol.
40%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
40%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
40%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
40%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
40%
6,000-6,500
$0 Vol.
40%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
40%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Persistent spring weather volatility, highlighted by the FAA's April 8 air traffic report warning of thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at major hubs like Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), Denver (DEN), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), and Seattle (SEA), keeps April 10 delay forecasts uncertain amid recent patterns of 4,600-5,600 daily disruptions. FlightAware data shows 4,647 US delays on April 8, down from over 5,600 during Easter weekend storms but above typical mid-week levels due to ongoing operational strains and variable storm tracks. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,500-7,000 at 41% implied probabilities, reflecting balanced risks from potential FAA ground stops or intensifying severe weather versus clearing skies and lighter volumes; late updates on Central US thunderstorms could tip outcomes higher or lower.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Persistent spring weather volatility, highlighted by the FAA's April 8 air traffic report warning of thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at major hubs like Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), Denver (DEN), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), and Seattle (SEA), keeps April 10 delay forecasts uncertain amid recent patterns of 4,600-5,600 daily disruptions. FlightAware data shows 4,647 US delays on April 8, down from over 5,600 during Easter weekend storms but above typical mid-week levels due to ongoing operational strains and variable storm tracks. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,500-7,000 at 41% implied probabilities, reflecting balanced risks from potential FAA ground stops or intensifying severe weather versus clearing skies and lighter volumes; late updates on Central US thunderstorms could tip outcomes higher or lower.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volume
$0Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent spring weather volatility, highlighted by the FAA's April 8 air traffic report warning of thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds at major hubs like Boston (BOS), Philadelphia (PHL), Denver (DEN), New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), and Seattle (SEA), keeps April 10 delay forecasts uncertain amid recent patterns of 4,600-5,600 daily disruptions. FlightAware data shows 4,647 US delays on April 8, down from over 5,600 during Easter weekend storms but above typical mid-week levels due to ongoing operational strains and variable storm tracks. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 4,500-7,000 at 41% implied probabilities, reflecting balanced risks from potential FAA ground stops or intensifying severe weather versus clearing skies and lighter volumes; late updates on Central US thunderstorms could tip outcomes higher or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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