Polymarket traders show tightly matched 50% implied probabilities across NVIDIA (NVDA) $165-$195 closing price ranges for the week of March 30, signaling consensus for 20-45% upside from current ~$138 levels amid AI boom uncertainty. Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings delivered 94% data center revenue growth to $30.8 billion, but Q4 guidance of $32.5 billion tempered enthusiasm due to U.S. export curbs slashing China sales—now ~15-20% exposure—and hyperscaler capex moderation fears from Meta and Microsoft. Competitive dynamics hinge on Blackwell GPU ramp versus AMD's MI350 challenge and costlier Chinese alternatives; January Q4 earnings and production updates represent pivotal catalysts that could differentiate higher bins if demand sustains above analyst estimates of 40%+ growth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour>$195 99%
$160-$165 50%
$165-$170 50%
$170-$175 50%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$150
50%
$150-$155
50%
$155-$160
50%
$160-$165
50%
$165-$170
50%
$170-$175
50%
$175-$180
50%
$180-$185
50%
$185-$190
50%
$190-$195
50%
>$195
99%
>$195 99%
$160-$165 50%
$165-$170 50%
$170-$175 50%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$150
$0 Vol.
50%
$150-$155
$0 Vol.
50%
$155-$160
$0 Vol.
50%
$160-$165
$0 Vol.
50%
$165-$170
$0 Vol.
50%
$170-$175
$0 Vol.
50%
$175-$180
$0 Vol.
50%
$180-$185
$0 Vol.
50%
$185-$190
$0 Vol.
50%
$190-$195
$0 Vol.
50%
>$195
$0 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders show tightly matched 50% implied probabilities across NVIDIA (NVDA) $165-$195 closing price ranges for the week of March 30, signaling consensus for 20-45% upside from current ~$138 levels amid AI boom uncertainty. Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings delivered 94% data center revenue growth to $30.8 billion, but Q4 guidance of $32.5 billion tempered enthusiasm due to U.S. export curbs slashing China sales—now ~15-20% exposure—and hyperscaler capex moderation fears from Meta and Microsoft. Competitive dynamics hinge on Blackwell GPU ramp versus AMD's MI350 challenge and costlier Chinese alternatives; January Q4 earnings and production updates represent pivotal catalysts that could differentiate higher bins if demand sustains above analyst estimates of 40%+ growth.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders show tightly matched 50% implied probabilities across NVIDIA (NVDA) $165-$195 closing price ranges for the week of March 30, signaling consensus for 20-45% upside from current ~$138 levels amid AI boom uncertainty. Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings delivered 94% data center revenue growth to $30.8 billion, but Q4 guidance of $32.5 billion tempered enthusiasm due to U.S. export curbs slashing China sales—now ~15-20% exposure—and hyperscaler capex moderation fears from Meta and Microsoft. Competitive dynamics hinge on Blackwell GPU ramp versus AMD's MI350 challenge and costlier Chinese alternatives; January Q4 earnings and production updates represent pivotal catalysts that could differentiate higher bins if demand sustains above analyst estimates of 40%+ growth.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show tightly matched 50% implied probabilities across NVIDIA (NVDA) $165-$195 closing price ranges for the week of March 30, signaling consensus for 20-45% upside from current ~$138 levels amid AI boom uncertainty. Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings delivered 94% data center revenue growth to $30.8 billion, but Q4 guidance of $32.5 billion tempered enthusiasm due to U.S. export curbs slashing China sales—now ~15-20% exposure—and hyperscaler capex moderation fears from Meta and Microsoft. Competitive dynamics hinge on Blackwell GPU ramp versus AMD's MI350 challenge and costlier Chinese alternatives; January Q4 earnings and production updates represent pivotal catalysts that could differentiate higher bins if demand sustains above analyst estimates of 40%+ growth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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