NVIDIA's upcoming Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings release after the May 20 close stands as the dominant driver of market-implied odds for the stock's May 22 settlement. With shares recently trading near $236 following a 20% monthly advance fueled by sustained AI infrastructure demand and positive hyperscaler commentary, trader consensus has coalesced around the $225–$235 range at roughly 46–47% implied probability for each bucket. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty over margin sustainability, Rubin chip ramp timelines, and any incremental China export signals, while lower-probability tails for moves above $260 or below $215 underscore the binary nature of the post-earnings reaction in a high-valuation environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour>$260 47%
$240-$245 45%
<$215 27%
$215-$220 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
<$215
27%
$215-$220
14%
$220-$225
14%
$225-$230
14%
$230-$235
13%
$235-$240
13%
$240-$245
45%
$245-$250
11%
$250-$255
11%
$255-$260
10%
>$260
47%
>$260 47%
$240-$245 45%
<$215 27%
$215-$220 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 mai 2026
<$215
$0 Vol.
27%
$215-$220
$0 Vol.
14%
$220-$225
$0 Vol.
14%
$225-$230
$0 Vol.
14%
$230-$235
$0 Vol.
13%
$235-$240
$0 Vol.
13%
$240-$245
$0 Vol.
45%
$245-$250
$0 Vol.
11%
$250-$255
$0 Vol.
11%
$255-$260
$0 Vol.
10%
>$260
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA's upcoming Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings release after the May 20 close stands as the dominant driver of market-implied odds for the stock's May 22 settlement. With shares recently trading near $236 following a 20% monthly advance fueled by sustained AI infrastructure demand and positive hyperscaler commentary, trader consensus has coalesced around the $225–$235 range at roughly 46–47% implied probability for each bucket. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty over margin sustainability, Rubin chip ramp timelines, and any incremental China export signals, while lower-probability tails for moves above $260 or below $215 underscore the binary nature of the post-earnings reaction in a high-valuation environment.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 6:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA's upcoming Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings release after the May 20 close stands as the dominant driver of market-implied odds for the stock's May 22 settlement. With shares recently trading near $236 following a 20% monthly advance fueled by sustained AI infrastructure demand and positive hyperscaler commentary, trader consensus has coalesced around the $225–$235 range at roughly 46–47% implied probability for each bucket. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty over margin sustainability, Rubin chip ramp timelines, and any incremental China export signals, while lower-probability tails for moves above $260 or below $215 underscore the binary nature of the post-earnings reaction in a high-valuation environment.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 6:14 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA's upcoming Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings release after the May 20 close stands as the dominant driver of market-implied odds for the stock's May 22 settlement. With shares recently trading near $236 following a 20% monthly advance fueled by sustained AI infrastructure demand and positive hyperscaler commentary, trader consensus has coalesced around the $225–$235 range at roughly 46–47% implied probability for each bucket. This tight clustering reflects uncertainty over margin sustainability, Rubin chip ramp timelines, and any incremental China export signals, while lower-probability tails for moves above $260 or below $215 underscore the binary nature of the post-earnings reaction in a high-valuation environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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