Trader consensus heavily favors 71–72 million views on day 4 for MrBeast's latest video, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!"—uploaded October 18—with an 85.5% implied probability, reflecting his track record of explosive early growth. Previous mega-hits like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" amassed 72 million by day 4, while recent releases averaged 70–75 million amid YouTube algorithm boosts and cross-platform hype on TikTok and X. Current views stand at 68 million after 72 hours, accelerating via viral challenges and subscriber surge past 380 million, positioning 72–73 million as the next likely bin at 14.5%. No major controversies or competing events dilute momentum, though ad revenue tweaks could subtly cap peaks. Key watch: day 4 snapshot at midnight UTC.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
71–72M 78%
72–73M 21%
73–74M <1%
70–71M <1%
$1,119,889 Vol.
$1,119,889 Vol.
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
<1%
71–72M
78%
72–73M
21%
73–74M
<1%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
71–72M 78%
72–73M 21%
73–74M <1%
70–71M <1%
$1,119,889 Vol.
$1,119,889 Vol.
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
<1%
71–72M
78%
72–73M
21%
73–74M
<1%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 71–72 million views on day 4 for MrBeast's latest video, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!"—uploaded October 18—with an 85.5% implied probability, reflecting his track record of explosive early growth. Previous mega-hits like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" amassed 72 million by day 4, while recent releases averaged 70–75 million amid YouTube algorithm boosts and cross-platform hype on TikTok and X. Current views stand at 68 million after 72 hours, accelerating via viral challenges and subscriber surge past 380 million, positioning 72–73 million as the next likely bin at 14.5%. No major controversies or competing events dilute momentum, though ad revenue tweaks could subtly cap peaks. Key watch: day 4 snapshot at midnight UTC.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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