Trader consensus favors 30–35 million day-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next video at 25.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 25–30M and 35–40M buckets, signaling tight competition driven by his consistent high-stakes content formula. Recent uploads like "I Survived 50 Hours In Antarctica" garnered 28.7M views in 24 hours, while "Last To Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" hit 32.4M, setting a benchmark amid YouTube algorithm tweaks favoring long-form challenges. Key differentiators include the teased $1M giveaway scale, thumbnail click-through rates above 10%, and a probable weekend drop to maximize initial momentum, though competing viral trends and ad fatigue could cap upside above 40M.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
30–35M 30%
25–30M 17%
35–40M 17%
20–25M 13%
<20M
4%
20–25M
13%
25–30M
17%
30–35M
30%
35–40M
17%
40–45M
9%
45–50M
8%
50M+
9%
30–35M 30%
25–30M 17%
35–40M 17%
20–25M 13%
<20M
4%
20–25M
13%
25–30M
17%
30–35M
30%
35–40M
17%
40–45M
9%
45–50M
8%
50M+
9%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 30–35 million day-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next video at 25.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 25–30M and 35–40M buckets, signaling tight competition driven by his consistent high-stakes content formula. Recent uploads like "I Survived 50 Hours In Antarctica" garnered 28.7M views in 24 hours, while "Last To Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" hit 32.4M, setting a benchmark amid YouTube algorithm tweaks favoring long-form challenges. Key differentiators include the teased $1M giveaway scale, thumbnail click-through rates above 10%, and a probable weekend drop to maximize initial momentum, though competing viral trends and ad fatigue could cap upside above 40M.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes