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Monde·RBA

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Market icon
Monde·RBA

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

May 5

Jun 16

May 5

Jun 16

Increase 55%

No Change 40%

Decrease 8.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Increase 55%

No Change 40%

Decrease 8.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Decrease

$0 Vol.

8%

No Change

$0 Vol.

40%

Increase

$6,060 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Traders on Polymarket price a 51% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike its cash rate at the June 18 board meeting, edging out no change at 41%, driven by sticky underlying inflation. Q1 trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—above the 2-3% target and consensus forecasts—while the labor market remains tight with unemployment holding near 4.0% and robust jobs growth. The RBA's May decision maintained rates at 4.35% but adopted a hawkish tone, emphasizing data dependence amid persistent services inflation. A rate cut at 8% reflects low odds given cooling headline CPI but resilient wage pressures; focus now shifts to mid-June labor and inflation previews that could sway the closely contested hike/no-change dynamic.

Traders on Polymarket price a 51% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike its cash rate at the June 18 board meeting, edging out no change at 41%, driven by sticky underlying inflation. Q1 trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—above the 2-3% target and consensus forecasts—while the labor market remains tight with unemployment holding near 4.0% and robust jobs growth. The RBA's May decision maintained rates at 4.35% but adopted a hawkish tone, emphasizing data dependence amid persistent services inflation. A rate cut at 8% reflects low odds given cooling headline CPI but resilient wage pressures; focus now shifts to mid-June labor and inflation previews that could sway the closely contested hike/no-change dynamic.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Traders on Polymarket price a 51% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike its cash rate at the June 18 board meeting, edging out no change at 41%, driven by sticky underlying inflation. Q1 trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—above the 2-3% target and consensus forecasts—while the labor market remains tight with unemployment holding near 4.0% and robust jobs growth. The RBA's May decision maintained rates at 4.35% but adopted a hawkish tone, emphasizing data dependence amid persistent services inflation. A rate cut at 8% reflects low odds given cooling headline CPI but resilient wage pressures; focus now shifts to mid-June labor and inflation previews that could sway the closely contested hike/no-change dynamic.

Traders on Polymarket price a 51% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike its cash rate at the June 18 board meeting, edging out no change at 41%, driven by sticky underlying inflation. Q1 trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—above the 2-3% target and consensus forecasts—while the labor market remains tight with unemployment holding near 4.0% and robust jobs growth. The RBA's May decision maintained rates at 4.35% but adopted a hawkish tone, emphasizing data dependence amid persistent services inflation. A rate cut at 8% reflects low odds given cooling headline CPI but resilient wage pressures; focus now shifts to mid-June labor and inflation previews that could sway the closely contested hike/no-change dynamic.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Increase » à 55%, suivi de « No Change » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 55¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 19, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June? » est « Increase » à 55%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 55% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « No Change » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.