Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven tech leaders, remains the dominant force supporting S&P 500 levels near 7,666 as of early September 2026, with Wall Street year-end targets clustering around 7,800–7,900. Consensus 2026 EPS estimates have climbed above $350 amid resilient economic data, including a 4.1–4.2% unemployment rate and moderating but still-elevated inflation near 3.3–3.5% year-over-year. The Federal Reserve’s 3.50–3.75% policy rate holds steady, yet market pricing now assigns elevated odds of a September hike as geopolitical tensions sustain energy prices and core inflation pressures. Traders will monitor upcoming FOMC communications, September CPI and payrolls releases, and any shifts in forward P/E multiples currently near 20x for signals on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$334,492 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9 300 $
5%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ 8 600 $
8%
↑ 8 200 $
37%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
69%
↓ $7,200
74%
↓ $7,000
40%
↓ 6 200 $
15%
↓ $6,000
13%
↓ 5 800 $
8%
↓ 5 200 $
6%
↓ 4 500 $
4%
$334,492 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ 9 300 $
$9,527 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
3%
↑ 8 600 $
$30,604 Vol.
8%
↑ 8 200 $
$23,394 Vol.
37%
↑ $8,000
$489 Vol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
69%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
40%
↓ 6 200 $
$49,251 Vol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,947 Vol.
13%
↓ 5 800 $
$41,770 Vol.
8%
↓ 5 200 $
$56,380 Vol.
6%
↓ 4 500 $
$59,566 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven tech leaders, remains the dominant force supporting S&P 500 levels near 7,666 as of early September 2026, with Wall Street year-end targets clustering around 7,800–7,900. Consensus 2026 EPS estimates have climbed above $350 amid resilient economic data, including a 4.1–4.2% unemployment rate and moderating but still-elevated inflation near 3.3–3.5% year-over-year. The Federal Reserve’s 3.50–3.75% policy rate holds steady, yet market pricing now assigns elevated odds of a September hike as geopolitical tensions sustain energy prices and core inflation pressures. Traders will monitor upcoming FOMC communications, September CPI and payrolls releases, and any shifts in forward P/E multiples currently near 20x for signals on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$334,492Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven tech leaders, remains the dominant force supporting S&P 500 levels near 7,666 as of early September 2026, with Wall Street year-end targets clustering around 7,800–7,900. Consensus 2026 EPS estimates have climbed above $350 amid resilient economic data, including a 4.1–4.2% unemployment rate and moderating but still-elevated inflation near 3.3–3.5% year-over-year. The Federal Reserve’s 3.50–3.75% policy rate holds steady, yet market pricing now assigns elevated odds of a September hike as geopolitical tensions sustain energy prices and core inflation pressures. Traders will monitor upcoming FOMC communications, September CPI and payrolls releases, and any shifts in forward P/E multiples currently near 20x for signals on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$334,492Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven tech leaders, remains the dominant force supporting S&P 500 levels near 7,666 as of early September 2026, with Wall Street year-end targets clustering around 7,800–7,900. Consensus 2026 EPS estimates have climbed above $350 amid resilient economic data, including a 4.1–4.2% unemployment rate and moderating but still-elevated inflation near 3.3–3.5% year-over-year. The Federal Reserve’s 3.50–3.75% policy rate holds steady, yet market pricing now assigns elevated odds of a September hike as geopolitical tensions sustain energy prices and core inflation pressures. Traders will monitor upcoming FOMC communications, September CPI and payrolls releases, and any shifts in forward P/E multiples currently near 20x for signals on whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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