**Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance drove S&P 500 (SPX) sentiment during the week of August 31, 2026.** Escalating U.S.-Iran conflicts and related oil price spikes revived inflation concerns, pushing Treasury yields higher and pressuring equities lower on August 31, with the index closing at 7,686.14 after trading in a 7,652–7,731 range. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks elevated September rate-hike odds above 60 percent in futures markets, tempering risk appetite despite the index trading near record levels above 7,800 earlier in August. Weak July payrolls and soft CPI readings had earlier supported a softer policy path, but robust economic data and energy volatility created uncertainty around the near-term rate trajectory and equity valuations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que le S&P 500 (ESPION) frappera la semaine du 31 août 2026 ?
$62,836 Vol.
↑ $800
No
↑ $795
No
↑ $790
No
↑ $785
No
↑ 780 $
Non
↑ 775 $
Non
↓ 770 $
Oui
↓ 765 $
Non
↓ 760 $
Non
↓ 755 $
Non
↓ 750 $
Non
↓ 745 $
Non
↓ 740 $
Non
↓ 735 $
Non
↓ 770 $
Oui
↑ 770 $
Oui
↓ 765 $
Oui
↑ 765 $
Oui
↓ 765 $
Oui
↓ 765 $
Oui
↓ 760 $
Oui
$62,836 Vol.
↑ $800
No
↑ $795
No
↑ $790
No
↑ $785
No
↑ 780 $
Non
↑ 775 $
Non
↓ 770 $
Oui
↓ 765 $
Non
↓ 760 $
Non
↓ 755 $
Non
↓ 750 $
Non
↓ 745 $
Non
↓ 740 $
Non
↓ 735 $
Non
↓ 770 $
Oui
↑ 770 $
Oui
↓ 765 $
Oui
↑ 765 $
Oui
↓ 765 $
Oui
↓ 765 $
Oui
↓ 760 $
Oui
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance drove S&P 500 (SPX) sentiment during the week of August 31, 2026.** Escalating U.S.-Iran conflicts and related oil price spikes revived inflation concerns, pushing Treasury yields higher and pressuring equities lower on August 31, with the index closing at 7,686.14 after trading in a 7,652–7,731 range. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks elevated September rate-hike odds above 60 percent in futures markets, tempering risk appetite despite the index trading near record levels above 7,800 earlier in August. Weak July payrolls and soft CPI readings had earlier supported a softer policy path, but robust economic data and energy volatility created uncertainty around the near-term rate trajectory and equity valuations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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