Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and rapidly accelerating revenue run-rate—reaching $65 billion annualized by July—anchor trader expectations for an October Nasdaq debut at a substantial premium to its $965 billion Series H valuation. Secondary-market levels near $1.3 trillion and banker discussions of a potential $2 trillion target or $100 billion raise reflect intense demand for frontier AI exposure amid Claude’s enterprise adoption. With IPO probabilities exceeding 99 percent by year-end and public prospectus release imminent after Labor Day, the closely bunched $1.75–2.5 trillion buckets capture uncertainty over pricing multiples, lock-up structures, and first-day trading dynamics versus historical AI and tech precedents.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1.75–$2.0T 26%
$2.0–$2.25T 22.4%
$2.25–$2.5T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 12.5%
$623,402 Vol.
$623,402 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
10%
$1.75–$2.0T
26%
$2.0–$2.25T
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
19%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
$1.75–$2.0T 26%
$2.0–$2.25T 22.4%
$2.25–$2.5T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 12.5%
$623,402 Vol.
$623,402 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
10%
$1.75–$2.0T
26%
$2.0–$2.25T
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
19%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and rapidly accelerating revenue run-rate—reaching $65 billion annualized by July—anchor trader expectations for an October Nasdaq debut at a substantial premium to its $965 billion Series H valuation. Secondary-market levels near $1.3 trillion and banker discussions of a potential $2 trillion target or $100 billion raise reflect intense demand for frontier AI exposure amid Claude’s enterprise adoption. With IPO probabilities exceeding 99 percent by year-end and public prospectus release imminent after Labor Day, the closely bunched $1.75–2.5 trillion buckets capture uncertainty over pricing multiples, lock-up structures, and first-day trading dynamics versus historical AI and tech precedents.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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