Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation, underpins the market’s overwhelming 95.9% implied probability for a post-IPO closing market cap above $600 billion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and preparations for a public prospectus release after Labor Day, with an October Nasdaq target and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, have reinforced trader expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion. Claude’s enterprise adoption in coding and agentic tasks, alongside expanded compute deals with Amazon, Google, and others, further supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include weaker-than-expected gross margins in audited filings, broader market volatility, or delays shifting the timeline into 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour600 milliards+ 95.8%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 <1%
400–600 Md$ <1%
<100 G$ <1%
$443,664 Vol.
$443,664 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<100 G$
<1%
100–200 Md$
<1%
200–300 Md$
<1%
300–400 Mds
<1%
400–600 Md$
1%
600 milliards+
96%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
1%
600 milliards+ 95.8%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 <1%
400–600 Md$ <1%
<100 G$ <1%
$443,664 Vol.
$443,664 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<100 G$
$158,004 Vol.
<1%
100–200 Md$
$82,803 Vol.
<1%
200–300 Md$
$22,839 Vol.
<1%
300–400 Mds
$73,632 Vol.
<1%
400–600 Md$
$22,756 Vol.
1%
600 milliards+
$48,396 Vol.
96%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
$35,234 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation, underpins the market’s overwhelming 95.9% implied probability for a post-IPO closing market cap above $600 billion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and preparations for a public prospectus release after Labor Day, with an October Nasdaq target and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, have reinforced trader expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion. Claude’s enterprise adoption in coding and agentic tasks, alongside expanded compute deals with Amazon, Google, and others, further supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include weaker-than-expected gross margins in audited filings, broader market volatility, or delays shifting the timeline into 2027.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$443,664Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation, underpins the market’s overwhelming 95.9% implied probability for a post-IPO closing market cap above $600 billion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and preparations for a public prospectus release after Labor Day, with an October Nasdaq target and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, have reinforced trader expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion. Claude’s enterprise adoption in coding and agentic tasks, alongside expanded compute deals with Amazon, Google, and others, further supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include weaker-than-expected gross margins in audited filings, broader market volatility, or delays shifting the timeline into 2027.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$443,664Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion private valuation, underpins the market’s overwhelming 95.9% implied probability for a post-IPO closing market cap above $600 billion. The company’s confidential S-1 filing in June and preparations for a public prospectus release after Labor Day, with an October Nasdaq target and underwriters including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, have reinforced trader expectations of a debut near or above $1 trillion. Claude’s enterprise adoption in coding and agentic tasks, alongside expanded compute deals with Amazon, Google, and others, further supports the positioning. Realistic challenges include weaker-than-expected gross margins in audited filings, broader market volatility, or delays shifting the timeline into 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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