Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race, supporting the market’s 82.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The company recently closed a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion post-money valuation and retains flexibility to list as early as this fall once SEC review concludes, depending on market conditions. OpenAI, valued around $852 billion in its most recent round, continues preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own confidential filing, with reports pointing to a possible September or fourth-quarter window. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step and faster execution timeline more heavily than OpenAI’s historically higher profile in the generative AI space. Key near-term catalysts include any acceleration in OpenAI’s filing process or shifts in broader market sentiment that could alter both companies’ listing plans.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
$114,367 Vol.
$114,367 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
Anthropic
$114,367 Vol.
$114,367 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race, supporting the market’s 82.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The company recently closed a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion post-money valuation and retains flexibility to list as early as this fall once SEC review concludes, depending on market conditions. OpenAI, valued around $852 billion in its most recent round, continues preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own confidential filing, with reports pointing to a possible September or fourth-quarter window. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step and faster execution timeline more heavily than OpenAI’s historically higher profile in the generative AI space. Key near-term catalysts include any acceleration in OpenAI’s filing process or shifts in broader market sentiment that could alter both companies’ listing plans.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$114,367Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race, supporting the market’s 82.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The company recently closed a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion post-money valuation and retains flexibility to list as early as this fall once SEC review concludes, depending on market conditions. OpenAI, valued around $852 billion in its most recent round, continues preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own confidential filing, with reports pointing to a possible September or fourth-quarter window. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step and faster execution timeline more heavily than OpenAI’s historically higher profile in the generative AI space. Key near-term catalysts include any acceleration in OpenAI’s filing process or shifts in broader market sentiment that could alter both companies’ listing plans.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$114,367Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has positioned the Claude developer ahead in the race, supporting the market’s 82.5% implied probability that it reaches public markets before OpenAI. The company recently closed a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion post-money valuation and retains flexibility to list as early as this fall once SEC review concludes, depending on market conditions. OpenAI, valued around $852 billion in its most recent round, continues preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own confidential filing, with reports pointing to a possible September or fourth-quarter window. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step and faster execution timeline more heavily than OpenAI’s historically higher profile in the generative AI space. Key near-term catalysts include any acceleration in OpenAI’s filing process or shifts in broader market sentiment that could alter both companies’ listing plans.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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