Anthropic's recent confidential filing for a U.S. IPO on June 1 has established a clear lead in the race to public markets, driving the strong 82.5% trader consensus. The move follows a major $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and positions the Claude developer ahead of OpenAI, which continues preparatory work with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own filing. OpenAI's timeline targets a potential September or Q4 2026 debut, yet internal discussions and the absence of a comparable step keep it behind. This first-mover advantage in the competitive large language model space gives Anthropic earlier access to public capital for scaling infrastructure and talent amid intense AI development pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
$113,866 Vol.
$113,866 Vol.
Anthropic
$113,866 Vol.
$113,866 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's recent confidential filing for a U.S. IPO on June 1 has established a clear lead in the race to public markets, driving the strong 82.5% trader consensus. The move follows a major $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation and positions the Claude developer ahead of OpenAI, which continues preparatory work with banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley but has not yet submitted its own filing. OpenAI's timeline targets a potential September or Q4 2026 debut, yet internal discussions and the absence of a comparable step keep it behind. This first-mover advantage in the competitive large language model space gives Anthropic earlier access to public capital for scaling infrastructure and talent amid intense AI development pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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