Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI in the race to public markets, driving the 71% market-implied probability that it lists first. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a roughly $965 billion valuation and builds on earlier preparations including legal and banking advisory engagements. OpenAI has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to draft its own prospectus with an eye toward a September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut, yet it has not yet filed and faces internal questions around timing, infrastructure spending, and governance standards. Both companies continue rapid scaling of their large language models amid intense competition, but Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step creates a clearer near-term path that traders appear to be pricing in.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
$131,793 Vol.
$131,793 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
Anthropic
$131,793 Vol.
$131,793 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI in the race to public markets, driving the 71% market-implied probability that it lists first. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a roughly $965 billion valuation and builds on earlier preparations including legal and banking advisory engagements. OpenAI has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to draft its own prospectus with an eye toward a September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut, yet it has not yet filed and faces internal questions around timing, infrastructure spending, and governance standards. Both companies continue rapid scaling of their large language models amid intense competition, but Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step creates a clearer near-term path that traders appear to be pricing in.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$131,793Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI in the race to public markets, driving the 71% market-implied probability that it lists first. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a roughly $965 billion valuation and builds on earlier preparations including legal and banking advisory engagements. OpenAI has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to draft its own prospectus with an eye toward a September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut, yet it has not yet filed and faces internal questions around timing, infrastructure spending, and governance standards. Both companies continue rapid scaling of their large language models amid intense competition, but Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step creates a clearer near-term path that traders appear to be pricing in.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$131,793Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential filing of draft IPO paperwork with the SEC on June 1 has positioned it ahead of OpenAI in the race to public markets, driving the 71% market-implied probability that it lists first. The move follows Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a roughly $965 billion valuation and builds on earlier preparations including legal and banking advisory engagements. OpenAI has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to draft its own prospectus with an eye toward a September or fourth-quarter 2026 debut, yet it has not yet filed and faces internal questions around timing, infrastructure spending, and governance standards. Both companies continue rapid scaling of their large language models amid intense competition, but Anthropic’s concrete regulatory step creates a clearer near-term path that traders appear to be pricing in.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes