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Finance·Big Tech

Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu)

icon for Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu)
Finance·Big Tech

Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu)

déc. 31, 2027

inférieures

du milieu

déc. 31, 2027

inférieures

du milieu

1.8T+ 86%

1.5–1.8T 9.9%

No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.6%

1.2–1.5T 1.8%

Polymarket

$374,924 Vol.

1.8T+ 86%

1.5–1.8T 9.9%

No IPO by December 31, 2027 2.6%

1.2–1.5T 1.8%

Polymarket

$374,924 Vol.

<0.6T

$20,395 Vol.

1%

0.6–0.9T

$25,685 Vol.

1%

0.9–1.2T

$25,086 Vol.

1%

1.2–1.5T

$33,479 Vol.

2%

1.5–1.8T

$39,998 Vol.

10%

1.8T+

$180,002 Vol.

86%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$50,278 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Anthropic's rapid revenue acceleration and aggressive IPO positioning underpin the 85.5% market-implied probability on a 1.8T+ closing market cap.** The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026 and is on track for a public filing after Labor Day, targeting a late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut. Its May Series H round closed at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion, with annualized revenue run rate surging from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to over $47 billion in May and $65 billion by late July. Q2 revenue reached approximately $11.6 billion, reflecting explosive demand for its Claude models amid enterprise adoption and competitive gains over OpenAI. Bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion valuation—exceeding SpaceX’s recent $1.77 trillion IPO—with ambitions to raise more than $100 billion. This rests on forward projections of $190–200 billion in 2028 revenue and expectations of sustained high growth in the large language model sector. Secondary-market indications near $1.2 trillion and investor briefings emphasizing record-scale demand reinforce trader consensus for a debut well above 1.8T. The low 2.6% odds of no IPO by December 2027 reflect the advanced filing status and accelerating timeline, while smaller brackets remain sidelined given the scale of recent momentum and AI market enthusiasm. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 release and roadshow execution, which will test whether the lofty forecasts hold in public markets.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$374,924
Date de fin
1 janv. 2028
Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Anthropic's rapid revenue acceleration and aggressive IPO positioning underpin the 85.5% market-implied probability on a 1.8T+ closing market cap.** The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026 and is on track for a public filing after Labor Day, targeting a late-September or early-October Nasdaq debut. Its May Series H round closed at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion, with annualized revenue run rate surging from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to over $47 billion in May and $65 billion by late July. Q2 revenue reached approximately $11.6 billion, reflecting explosive demand for its Claude models amid enterprise adoption and competitive gains over OpenAI. Bankers have discussed a potential $2 trillion valuation—exceeding SpaceX’s recent $1.77 trillion IPO—with ambitions to raise more than $100 billion. This rests on forward projections of $190–200 billion in 2028 revenue and expectations of sustained high growth in the large language model sector. Secondary-market indications near $1.2 trillion and investor briefings emphasizing record-scale demand reinforce trader consensus for a debut well above 1.8T. The low 2.6% odds of no IPO by December 2027 reflect the advanced filing status and accelerating timeline, while smaller brackets remain sidelined given the scale of recent momentum and AI market enthusiasm. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 release and roadshow execution, which will test whether the lofty forecasts hold in public markets.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$374,924
Date de fin
1 janv. 2028
Marché ouvert
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Connexes

icon for La capitalisation boursière d’Anthropic atteindra-t-elle 600 milliards de dollars ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de son introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

La capitalisation boursière d’Anthropic atteindra-t-elle 600 milliards de dollars ou plus à la clôture du marché le jour de son introduction en bourse d’ici le 31 décembre 2027 ?

95%
Oui
icon for Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

20%
icon for Capitalisation boursière de clôture supérieure à 1,5 T$ pour l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic ?

Capitalisation boursière de clôture supérieure à 1,5 T$ pour l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic ?

94%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 1.8T+ » à 86%, suivi de « 1.5–1.8T » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 86¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) » a généré $374.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 30, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) » est « 1.8T+ » à 86%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 86% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1.5–1.8T » à 10%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Plafond du marché de clôture de l'introduction en bourse d'Anthropic (parenthèses du milieu) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.