Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 release of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic mid-tier model yet with stronger reasoning, tool use, coding benchmarks, and near-Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet. The upgrade followed Sonnet 4.6 by roughly four months and quickly became the default for free and pro users, reflecting Anthropic’s push to deliver frontier capabilities in a faster, cheaper package amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. With no new official announcements since, Polymarket-implied odds cluster around a mid-October release, driven by historical cadence and recent shifts in developer feedback on agentic workflows. Key upcoming catalysts include any earnings commentary or developer conference signals that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$19,728 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
22%
31 octobre
81%
31 décembre
91%
$19,728 Vol.
30 septembre
$975 Vol.
22%
31 octobre
$11,002 Vol.
81%
31 décembre
$4,012 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 release of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic mid-tier model yet with stronger reasoning, tool use, coding benchmarks, and near-Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet. The upgrade followed Sonnet 4.6 by roughly four months and quickly became the default for free and pro users, reflecting Anthropic’s push to deliver frontier capabilities in a faster, cheaper package amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. With no new official announcements since, Polymarket-implied odds cluster around a mid-October release, driven by historical cadence and recent shifts in developer feedback on agentic workflows. Key upcoming catalysts include any earnings commentary or developer conference signals that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Volume
$19,728Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 release of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic mid-tier model yet with stronger reasoning, tool use, coding benchmarks, and near-Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet. The upgrade followed Sonnet 4.6 by roughly four months and quickly became the default for free and pro users, reflecting Anthropic’s push to deliver frontier capabilities in a faster, cheaper package amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. With no new official announcements since, Polymarket-implied odds cluster around a mid-October release, driven by historical cadence and recent shifts in developer feedback on agentic workflows. Key upcoming catalysts include any earnings commentary or developer conference signals that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,728Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 release of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic mid-tier model yet with stronger reasoning, tool use, coding benchmarks, and near-Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost, sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet. The upgrade followed Sonnet 4.6 by roughly four months and quickly became the default for free and pro users, reflecting Anthropic’s push to deliver frontier capabilities in a faster, cheaper package amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. With no new official announcements since, Polymarket-implied odds cluster around a mid-October release, driven by historical cadence and recent shifts in developer feedback on agentic workflows. Key upcoming catalysts include any earnings commentary or developer conference signals that could accelerate or delay the timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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