Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Commerce Chair Ted Cruz, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar continue on targeted AI safety measures, including a proposed duty of care for frontier models and government authority to block unsafe releases, yet key language differences persist amid warnings from AI lab insiders. The House is set to adjourn for the November midterms with little expectation of floor action on comprehensive legislation, while President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice and new rules are unnecessary. Multiple bills, including discussion drafts like the Great American AI Act and narrower proposals on kill switches or incident reporting, lack committee markups, vote schedules, or broad consensus, leaving traders to price an 82.5% chance that no qualifying AI safety bill reaches enactment before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis adoptent-ils un projet de loi sur la sécurité de l'IA avant 2027 ?
Les États-Unis adoptent-ils un projet de loi sur la sécurité de l'IA avant 2027 ?
Oui
18% chance
$121,450 Vol.
$121,450 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
18% chance
$121,450 Vol.
$121,450 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Commerce Chair Ted Cruz, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar continue on targeted AI safety measures, including a proposed duty of care for frontier models and government authority to block unsafe releases, yet key language differences persist amid warnings from AI lab insiders. The House is set to adjourn for the November midterms with little expectation of floor action on comprehensive legislation, while President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice and new rules are unnecessary. Multiple bills, including discussion drafts like the Great American AI Act and narrower proposals on kill switches or incident reporting, lack committee markups, vote schedules, or broad consensus, leaving traders to price an 82.5% chance that no qualifying AI safety bill reaches enactment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$121,450Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Commerce Chair Ted Cruz, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar continue on targeted AI safety measures, including a proposed duty of care for frontier models and government authority to block unsafe releases, yet key language differences persist amid warnings from AI lab insiders. The House is set to adjourn for the November midterms with little expectation of floor action on comprehensive legislation, while President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice and new rules are unnecessary. Multiple bills, including discussion drafts like the Great American AI Act and narrower proposals on kill switches or incident reporting, lack committee markups, vote schedules, or broad consensus, leaving traders to price an 82.5% chance that no qualifying AI safety bill reaches enactment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$121,450Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Commerce Chair Ted Cruz, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar continue on targeted AI safety measures, including a proposed duty of care for frontier models and government authority to block unsafe releases, yet key language differences persist amid warnings from AI lab insiders. The House is set to adjourn for the November midterms with little expectation of floor action on comprehensive legislation, while President Trump has indicated existing authorities suffice and new rules are unnecessary. Multiple bills, including discussion drafts like the Great American AI Act and narrower proposals on kill switches or incident reporting, lack committee markups, vote schedules, or broad consensus, leaving traders to price an 82.5% chance that no qualifying AI safety bill reaches enactment before 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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