Recent claims of frontier models like GPT-5.6 Pro solving all six IMO 2026 problems have boosted expectations, yet the 65% implied probability on “No” reflects unresolved verification gaps and strict market criteria. Independent confirmation from IMO organizers remains absent amid competing assertions from Huawei, Xiaohongshu, and OpenAI, while historical patterns show geometry and rigorous proof still challenge even advanced large language models. Traders weigh 2025 closed-source gold-level results against the need for reproducible, open-source performance under official scoring thresholds. Upcoming independent audits and any official statements on AI submissions represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent claims of frontier models like GPT-5.6 Pro solving all six IMO 2026 problems have boosted expectations, yet the 65% implied probability on “No” reflects unresolved verification gaps and strict market criteria. Independent confirmation from IMO organizers remains absent amid competing assertions from Huawei, Xiaohongshu, and OpenAI, while historical patterns show geometry and rigorous proof still challenge even advanced large language models. Traders weigh 2025 closed-source gold-level results against the need for reproducible, open-source performance under official scoring thresholds. Upcoming independent audits and any official statements on AI submissions represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$8,374Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent claims of frontier models like GPT-5.6 Pro solving all six IMO 2026 problems have boosted expectations, yet the 65% implied probability on “No” reflects unresolved verification gaps and strict market criteria. Independent confirmation from IMO organizers remains absent amid competing assertions from Huawei, Xiaohongshu, and OpenAI, while historical patterns show geometry and rigorous proof still challenge even advanced large language models. Traders weigh 2025 closed-source gold-level results against the need for reproducible, open-source performance under official scoring thresholds. Upcoming independent audits and any official statements on AI submissions represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$8,374Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent claims of frontier models like GPT-5.6 Pro solving all six IMO 2026 problems have boosted expectations, yet the 65% implied probability on “No” reflects unresolved verification gaps and strict market criteria. Independent confirmation from IMO organizers remains absent amid competing assertions from Huawei, Xiaohongshu, and OpenAI, while historical patterns show geometry and rigorous proof still challenge even advanced large language models. Traders weigh 2025 closed-source gold-level results against the need for reproducible, open-source performance under official scoring thresholds. Upcoming independent audits and any official statements on AI submissions represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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