Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where OpenAI and Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think models reached gold-medal thresholds by solving five of six IMO problems for 35 points under official time limits, have boosted expectations, yet traders price “No” at 65% because 2026 problems could prove harder and frontier systems still face reliability gaps in fully autonomous, end-to-end reasoning without human steering or verification pipelines. Official participation rules, scoring verification by IMO committees, and the distinction between demonstrated benchmarks versus live competition performance add uncertainty, especially as open-weight models lag closed ones. Upcoming catalyst events include any confirmed entries or capability updates ahead of the July contest that could shift sentiment on whether general-purpose large language models close the remaining gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where OpenAI and Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think models reached gold-medal thresholds by solving five of six IMO problems for 35 points under official time limits, have boosted expectations, yet traders price “No” at 65% because 2026 problems could prove harder and frontier systems still face reliability gaps in fully autonomous, end-to-end reasoning without human steering or verification pipelines. Official participation rules, scoring verification by IMO committees, and the distinction between demonstrated benchmarks versus live competition performance add uncertainty, especially as open-weight models lag closed ones. Upcoming catalyst events include any confirmed entries or capability updates ahead of the July contest that could shift sentiment on whether general-purpose large language models close the remaining gap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$8,374Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where OpenAI and Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think models reached gold-medal thresholds by solving five of six IMO problems for 35 points under official time limits, have boosted expectations, yet traders price “No” at 65% because 2026 problems could prove harder and frontier systems still face reliability gaps in fully autonomous, end-to-end reasoning without human steering or verification pipelines. Official participation rules, scoring verification by IMO committees, and the distinction between demonstrated benchmarks versus live competition performance add uncertainty, especially as open-weight models lag closed ones. Upcoming catalyst events include any confirmed entries or capability updates ahead of the July contest that could shift sentiment on whether general-purpose large language models close the remaining gap.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volume
$8,374Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent breakthroughs in 2025, where OpenAI and Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think models reached gold-medal thresholds by solving five of six IMO problems for 35 points under official time limits, have boosted expectations, yet traders price “No” at 65% because 2026 problems could prove harder and frontier systems still face reliability gaps in fully autonomous, end-to-end reasoning without human steering or verification pipelines. Official participation rules, scoring verification by IMO committees, and the distinction between demonstrated benchmarks versus live competition performance add uncertainty, especially as open-weight models lag closed ones. Upcoming catalyst events include any confirmed entries or capability updates ahead of the July contest that could shift sentiment on whether general-purpose large language models close the remaining gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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