Google’s rapid iteration on its Gemini large language model family, with the Gemini 3 series launching in November 2025 and the 3.1 Pro preview following in February 2026, drives trader focus on the next flagship Pro update. These releases emphasized enhanced reasoning, multimodal capabilities, and tool use amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models. As of early June 2026, market-implied odds reflect expectations for a mid-month debut tied to benchmark gains or developer events, though Google’s history of phased previews and timeline shifts introduces uncertainty. Key catalysts ahead include potential Google I/O follow-ups, new capability demonstrations, or enterprise API expansions that could accelerate or delay the next Pro version.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour5 juin
27%
12 juin
17%
19 juin
72%
26 juin
73%
30 juin
85%
31 juillet
58%
$332 Vol.
5 juin
27%
12 juin
17%
19 juin
72%
26 juin
73%
30 juin
85%
31 juillet
58%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Google’s rapid iteration on its Gemini large language model family, with the Gemini 3 series launching in November 2025 and the 3.1 Pro preview following in February 2026, drives trader focus on the next flagship Pro update. These releases emphasized enhanced reasoning, multimodal capabilities, and tool use amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic models. As of early June 2026, market-implied odds reflect expectations for a mid-month debut tied to benchmark gains or developer events, though Google’s history of phased previews and timeline shifts introduces uncertainty. Key catalysts ahead include potential Google I/O follow-ups, new capability demonstrations, or enterprise API expansions that could accelerate or delay the next Pro version.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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