Google’s next Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing timeline slippage that underpins the market’s 54% probability of no release by September 30. Originally slated for June after a May 2026 Google I/O announcement, the flagship has missed multiple internal targets as engineers address performance shortfalls and gather partner feedback, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite shipped in July. With training already underway on Gemini 4 and no confirmed public rollout date or major developer event imminent, traders see limited catalysts for a September launch amid Google’s cautious approach to frontier-model quality.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre 54%
23 septembre 6%
2 septembre 5%
20 septembre 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
Le ou avant le 1er septembre
3%
2 septembre
5%
3 septembre
5%
4 septembre
5%
5 septembre
5%
6 septembre
5%
7 septembre
5%
8 septembre
4%
9 septembre
4%
10 septembre
4%
11 septembre
5%
12 septembre
5%
13 septembre
4%
14 septembre
5%
15 septembre
5%
16 septembre
4%
17 septembre
3%
18 septembre
5%
19 septembre
3%
20 septembre
5%
21 septembre
5%
22 septembre
5%
23 septembre
6%
24 septembre
5%
25 septembre
5%
26 septembre
4%
27 septembre
5%
28 septembre
5%
29 septembre
3%
30 septembre
3%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre
54%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre 54%
23 septembre 6%
2 septembre 5%
20 septembre 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
Le ou avant le 1er septembre
$93 Vol.
3%
2 septembre
$68 Vol.
5%
3 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
4 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
5 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
6 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
7 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
8 septembre
$58 Vol.
4%
9 septembre
$58 Vol.
4%
10 septembre
$58 Vol.
4%
11 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
12 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
13 septembre
$58 Vol.
4%
14 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
15 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
16 septembre
$58 Vol.
4%
17 septembre
$58 Vol.
3%
18 septembre
$61 Vol.
5%
19 septembre
$58 Vol.
3%
20 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
21 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
22 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
23 septembre
$58 Vol.
6%
24 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
25 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
26 septembre
$58 Vol.
4%
27 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
28 septembre
$58 Vol.
5%
29 septembre
$58 Vol.
3%
30 septembre
$58 Vol.
3%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 30 septembre
$299 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s next Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing timeline slippage that underpins the market’s 54% probability of no release by September 30. Originally slated for June after a May 2026 Google I/O announcement, the flagship has missed multiple internal targets as engineers address performance shortfalls and gather partner feedback, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite shipped in July. With training already underway on Gemini 4 and no confirmed public rollout date or major developer event imminent, traders see limited catalysts for a September launch amid Google’s cautious approach to frontier-model quality.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$2,092Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s next Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing timeline slippage that underpins the market’s 54% probability of no release by September 30. Originally slated for June after a May 2026 Google I/O announcement, the flagship has missed multiple internal targets as engineers address performance shortfalls and gather partner feedback, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite shipped in July. With training already underway on Gemini 4 and no confirmed public rollout date or major developer event imminent, traders see limited catalysts for a September launch amid Google’s cautious approach to frontier-model quality.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,092Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s next Gemini Pro model, widely expected to be the long-delayed 3.5 Pro, faces ongoing timeline slippage that underpins the market’s 54% probability of no release by September 30. Originally slated for June after a May 2026 Google I/O announcement, the flagship has missed multiple internal targets as engineers address performance shortfalls and gather partner feedback, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite shipped in July. With training already underway on Gemini 4 and no confirmed public rollout date or major developer event imminent, traders see limited catalysts for a September launch amid Google’s cautious approach to frontier-model quality.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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