Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude lineup, including the July 24, 2026 launch of Opus 5 as the new flagship with stronger agentic coding and 1M-token context, has shaped trader views on the next Opus release. Recent refreshes such as Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1 underscore the company’s pattern of frequent capability updates to stay competitive with OpenAI and Google models on benchmarks like SWE-bench. Market-implied odds cluster around late September 2026, reflecting expectations of continued momentum in frontier model development, though product timelines can shift due to safety reviews or internal priorities. Key upcoming catalysts include any new system cards, enterprise feature rollouts, or credible leaks on subsequent Opus-tier work.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$107,518 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
83%
31 octobre
99%
31 décembre
98%
$107,518 Vol.
30 septembre
$47,591 Vol.
83%
31 octobre
$13,267 Vol.
99%
31 décembre
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude lineup, including the July 24, 2026 launch of Opus 5 as the new flagship with stronger agentic coding and 1M-token context, has shaped trader views on the next Opus release. Recent refreshes such as Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1 underscore the company’s pattern of frequent capability updates to stay competitive with OpenAI and Google models on benchmarks like SWE-bench. Market-implied odds cluster around late September 2026, reflecting expectations of continued momentum in frontier model development, though product timelines can shift due to safety reviews or internal priorities. Key upcoming catalysts include any new system cards, enterprise feature rollouts, or credible leaks on subsequent Opus-tier work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$107,518Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude lineup, including the July 24, 2026 launch of Opus 5 as the new flagship with stronger agentic coding and 1M-token context, has shaped trader views on the next Opus release. Recent refreshes such as Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1 underscore the company’s pattern of frequent capability updates to stay competitive with OpenAI and Google models on benchmarks like SWE-bench. Market-implied odds cluster around late September 2026, reflecting expectations of continued momentum in frontier model development, though product timelines can shift due to safety reviews or internal priorities. Key upcoming catalysts include any new system cards, enterprise feature rollouts, or credible leaks on subsequent Opus-tier work.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,518Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude lineup, including the July 24, 2026 launch of Opus 5 as the new flagship with stronger agentic coding and 1M-token context, has shaped trader views on the next Opus release. Recent refreshes such as Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 on September 1 underscore the company’s pattern of frequent capability updates to stay competitive with OpenAI and Google models on benchmarks like SWE-bench. Market-implied odds cluster around late September 2026, reflecting expectations of continued momentum in frontier model development, though product timelines can shift due to safety reviews or internal priorities. Key upcoming catalysts include any new system cards, enterprise feature rollouts, or credible leaks on subsequent Opus-tier work.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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