Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, released in October 2025, remains the current lightweight model as of mid-September 2026 while higher-tier lines have advanced to Claude Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and the new Fable 5.1 tier. Traders see the next Haiku update as likely tied to the model’s earliest retirement window around October 15, 2026, and to matching recent gains in coding, agentic workflows, and cost efficiency demonstrated by the flagship releases. No official Haiku successor has been announced, but prediction-market volume clusters around late-October deadlines, reflecting expectations that Anthropic will refresh the efficient tier to stay competitive with faster, cheaper alternatives from OpenAI and Google once the current model nears end-of-life.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
15 oct. 2026
15 octobre
27%
31 octobre
60%
31 décembre
53%
$9,539 Vol.
15 octobre
$241 Vol.
27%
31 octobre
$987 Vol.
60%
31 décembre
$4,559 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, released in October 2025, remains the current lightweight model as of mid-September 2026 while higher-tier lines have advanced to Claude Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and the new Fable 5.1 tier. Traders see the next Haiku update as likely tied to the model’s earliest retirement window around October 15, 2026, and to matching recent gains in coding, agentic workflows, and cost efficiency demonstrated by the flagship releases. No official Haiku successor has been announced, but prediction-market volume clusters around late-October deadlines, reflecting expectations that Anthropic will refresh the efficient tier to stay competitive with faster, cheaper alternatives from OpenAI and Google once the current model nears end-of-life.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,539Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, released in October 2025, remains the current lightweight model as of mid-September 2026 while higher-tier lines have advanced to Claude Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and the new Fable 5.1 tier. Traders see the next Haiku update as likely tied to the model’s earliest retirement window around October 15, 2026, and to matching recent gains in coding, agentic workflows, and cost efficiency demonstrated by the flagship releases. No official Haiku successor has been announced, but prediction-market volume clusters around late-October deadlines, reflecting expectations that Anthropic will refresh the efficient tier to stay competitive with faster, cheaper alternatives from OpenAI and Google once the current model nears end-of-life.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$9,539Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, released in October 2025, remains the current lightweight model as of mid-September 2026 while higher-tier lines have advanced to Claude Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and the new Fable 5.1 tier. Traders see the next Haiku update as likely tied to the model’s earliest retirement window around October 15, 2026, and to matching recent gains in coding, agentic workflows, and cost efficiency demonstrated by the flagship releases. No official Haiku successor has been announced, but prediction-market volume clusters around late-October deadlines, reflecting expectations that Anthropic will refresh the efficient tier to stay competitive with faster, cheaper alternatives from OpenAI and Google once the current model nears end-of-life.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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