Recent downward revisions to box office tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy *The Breadwinner* explain the market’s lean toward a $6–7 million or low-seven-figure opening. Thursday previews of $750,000 across 2,750 theaters fell short of earlier hopes, prompting analysts to trim estimates from the mid-teens into the $7–14 million range amid a crowded Memorial Day weekend slate. Sony’s PG-rated title retains family and faith-based appeal plus Bargatze’s broad fanbase, supporting the 59.5% implied probability above $7 million, yet traditional comedies’ recent softness and competition keep the 6–7 million bracket at 34.2% as traders weigh last-minute word-of-mouth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
>7m 62%
6-7m 36.0%
5-6m <1%
<4m <1%
$145,221 Vol.
$145,221 Vol.
1 juin 2026
<4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
1%
6-7m
36%
>7m
62%
>7m 62%
6-7m 36.0%
5-6m <1%
<4m <1%
$145,221 Vol.
$145,221 Vol.
1 juin 2026
<4m
$5,277 Vol.
<1%
4-5m
$23,387 Vol.
<1%
5-6m
$10,534 Vol.
1%
6-7m
$15,286 Vol.
36%
>7m
$91,076 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent downward revisions to box office tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy *The Breadwinner* explain the market’s lean toward a $6–7 million or low-seven-figure opening. Thursday previews of $750,000 across 2,750 theaters fell short of earlier hopes, prompting analysts to trim estimates from the mid-teens into the $7–14 million range amid a crowded Memorial Day weekend slate. Sony’s PG-rated title retains family and faith-based appeal plus Bargatze’s broad fanbase, supporting the 59.5% implied probability above $7 million, yet traditional comedies’ recent softness and competition keep the 6–7 million bracket at 34.2% as traders weigh last-minute word-of-mouth.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$145,221Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent downward revisions to box office tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy *The Breadwinner* explain the market’s lean toward a $6–7 million or low-seven-figure opening. Thursday previews of $750,000 across 2,750 theaters fell short of earlier hopes, prompting analysts to trim estimates from the mid-teens into the $7–14 million range amid a crowded Memorial Day weekend slate. Sony’s PG-rated title retains family and faith-based appeal plus Bargatze’s broad fanbase, supporting the 59.5% implied probability above $7 million, yet traditional comedies’ recent softness and competition keep the 6–7 million bracket at 34.2% as traders weigh last-minute word-of-mouth.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$145,221Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent downward revisions to box office tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy *The Breadwinner* explain the market’s lean toward a $6–7 million or low-seven-figure opening. Thursday previews of $750,000 across 2,750 theaters fell short of earlier hopes, prompting analysts to trim estimates from the mid-teens into the $7–14 million range amid a crowded Memorial Day weekend slate. Sony’s PG-rated title retains family and faith-based appeal plus Bargatze’s broad fanbase, supporting the 59.5% implied probability above $7 million, yet traditional comedies’ recent softness and competition keep the 6–7 million bracket at 34.2% as traders weigh last-minute word-of-mouth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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