Tesla (TSLA) shares hover near $347, with Polymarket's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across $325-$370 bins for the April 13 week-end close reflecting trader consensus on high pre-earnings uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 results on April 22. The April 2 Q1 delivery report slightly missed consensus at a modest year-over-year production gain, extending an 8-week losing streak and amplifying a 23% YTD decline amid China sales weakness and EV pricing pressures, though energy storage growth provides offset. Analyst average price targets near $400 signal longer-term optimism on autonomy and cost reductions, but near-term swings hinge on macro risk appetite, competitive positioning versus legacy automakers, and FSD deployment updates—key differentiators in this closely contested range-bound setup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour325 $ - 330 $ 50%
330 $-335 $ 50%
$335-$340 50%
350 $ – 355 $ 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
<325 $
48%
325 $ - 330 $
50%
330 $-335 $
50%
$335-$340
50%
340 $ - 345 $
49%
345 $–350 $
49%
350 $ – 355 $
50%
355 $ – 360 $
50%
360 $ - 365 $
49%
365 $ - 370 $
49%
>370 $
49%
325 $ - 330 $ 50%
330 $-335 $ 50%
$335-$340 50%
350 $ – 355 $ 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
<325 $
$0 Vol.
48%
325 $ - 330 $
$0 Vol.
50%
330 $-335 $
$0 Vol.
50%
$335-$340
$0 Vol.
50%
340 $ - 345 $
$0 Vol.
49%
345 $–350 $
$0 Vol.
49%
350 $ – 355 $
$0 Vol.
50%
355 $ – 360 $
$0 Vol.
50%
360 $ - 365 $
$0 Vol.
49%
365 $ - 370 $
$0 Vol.
49%
>370 $
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares hover near $347, with Polymarket's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across $325-$370 bins for the April 13 week-end close reflecting trader consensus on high pre-earnings uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 results on April 22. The April 2 Q1 delivery report slightly missed consensus at a modest year-over-year production gain, extending an 8-week losing streak and amplifying a 23% YTD decline amid China sales weakness and EV pricing pressures, though energy storage growth provides offset. Analyst average price targets near $400 signal longer-term optimism on autonomy and cost reductions, but near-term swings hinge on macro risk appetite, competitive positioning versus legacy automakers, and FSD deployment updates—key differentiators in this closely contested range-bound setup.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) shares hover near $347, with Polymarket's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across $325-$370 bins for the April 13 week-end close reflecting trader consensus on high pre-earnings uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 results on April 22. The April 2 Q1 delivery report slightly missed consensus at a modest year-over-year production gain, extending an 8-week losing streak and amplifying a 23% YTD decline amid China sales weakness and EV pricing pressures, though energy storage growth provides offset. Analyst average price targets near $400 signal longer-term optimism on autonomy and cost reductions, but near-term swings hinge on macro risk appetite, competitive positioning versus legacy automakers, and FSD deployment updates—key differentiators in this closely contested range-bound setup.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla (TSLA) shares hover near $347, with Polymarket's evenly distributed 50% implied probabilities across $325-$370 bins for the April 13 week-end close reflecting trader consensus on high pre-earnings uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 results on April 22. The April 2 Q1 delivery report slightly missed consensus at a modest year-over-year production gain, extending an 8-week losing streak and amplifying a 23% YTD decline amid China sales weakness and EV pricing pressures, though energy storage growth provides offset. Analyst average price targets near $400 signal longer-term optimism on autonomy and cost reductions, but near-term swings hinge on macro risk appetite, competitive positioning versus legacy automakers, and FSD deployment updates—key differentiators in this closely contested range-bound setup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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