Recent weakness in Tesla shares, trading near $418–423 amid mixed robotaxi news and competitive pressures in autonomous driving, has positioned the sub-$420 close as the leading outcome for the week of June 1 with 56% implied probability. Investor focus on expanding Austin operations has been tempered by Waymo’s larger fleet and softer broader EV sales data, while ancillary developments such as legal settlements and limited positive catalysts have kept sentiment contained. With the trading week nearing resolution and no major earnings or policy events imminent, trader consensus reflected in these market-implied odds underscores near-term resistance above $425 and the dominance of current price levels in shaping expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<$420 52%
$425-$430 21%
$420-$425 17%
$430-$435 8%
<$420
52%
$420-$425
19%
$425-$430
21%
$430-$435
8%
$435-$440
3%
$440-$445
6%
$445-$450
6%
$450-$455
6%
$455-$460
6%
$460-$465
6%
>$465
7%
<$420 52%
$425-$430 21%
$420-$425 17%
$430-$435 8%
<$420
52%
$420-$425
19%
$425-$430
21%
$430-$435
8%
$435-$440
3%
$440-$445
6%
$445-$450
6%
$450-$455
6%
$455-$460
6%
$460-$465
6%
>$465
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weakness in Tesla shares, trading near $418–423 amid mixed robotaxi news and competitive pressures in autonomous driving, has positioned the sub-$420 close as the leading outcome for the week of June 1 with 56% implied probability. Investor focus on expanding Austin operations has been tempered by Waymo’s larger fleet and softer broader EV sales data, while ancillary developments such as legal settlements and limited positive catalysts have kept sentiment contained. With the trading week nearing resolution and no major earnings or policy events imminent, trader consensus reflected in these market-implied odds underscores near-term resistance above $425 and the dominance of current price levels in shaping expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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