The reported turnout in the May 26 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between Ken Paxton and John Cornyn fell squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range, with more than 1.3 million total ballots cast and roughly 1.39 million votes tallied statewide. This outcome reflects the typical sharp drop in participation between a primary and runoff, compounded by the high-profile but localized contest drawing about 36 percent fewer Republican voters than the March primary. Trader consensus has consolidated around these official early and final counts from state sources because they leave little room for deviation once certified. Late adjustments to provisional or overseas ballots, or disputes during final canvassing, remain the only plausible paths that could shift the total outside the leading bracket.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourParticipation au premier tour républicain du Sénat du Texas
Participation au premier tour républicain du Sénat du Texas
1,2–1,5 M 99.8%
2,4–2,7M <1%
<0,6M <1%
0,6–0,9 M <1%
$169,060 Vol.
$169,060 Vol.
<0,6M
Non
0,6–0,9 M
Non
0,9–1,2 M
Non
1,2–1,5 M
Oui
1,5–1,8M
Non
1,8–2,1 M
Non
2,1–2,4 M
Non
2,4–2,7M
Non
2,7 M+
Non
1,2–1,5 M 99.8%
2,4–2,7M <1%
<0,6M <1%
0,6–0,9 M <1%
$169,060 Vol.
$169,060 Vol.
<0,6M
Non
0,6–0,9 M
Non
0,9–1,2 M
Non
1,2–1,5 M
Oui
1,5–1,8M
Non
1,8–2,1 M
Non
2,1–2,4 M
Non
2,4–2,7M
Non
2,7 M+
Non
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The reported turnout in the May 26 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between Ken Paxton and John Cornyn fell squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range, with more than 1.3 million total ballots cast and roughly 1.39 million votes tallied statewide. This outcome reflects the typical sharp drop in participation between a primary and runoff, compounded by the high-profile but localized contest drawing about 36 percent fewer Republican voters than the March primary. Trader consensus has consolidated around these official early and final counts from state sources because they leave little room for deviation once certified. Late adjustments to provisional or overseas ballots, or disputes during final canvassing, remain the only plausible paths that could shift the total outside the leading bracket.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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