Bayern Munich enters the UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena holding a 2-1 aggregate lead after a gritty away win at the Bernabéu four days ago, fueling trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for a home victory that would secure advancement. Real Madrid's attacking threat is blunted by key absences including Thibaut Courtois (muscle tear), Rodrygo (cruciate ligament), and Ferland Mendy (muscle injury), while Bayern benefits from Harry Kane's return to training and Vincent Kompany's side's strong recent form, including a 6-1 rout of Atalanta. Home advantage, momentum, and Madrid's defensive vulnerabilities position the draw (19.5%) and Real win (21.5%) as competitive but uphill paths in this high-stakes knockout clash.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern Munich enters the UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena holding a 2-1 aggregate lead after a gritty away win at the Bernabéu four days ago, fueling trader consensus at 61.5% implied probability for a home victory that would secure advancement. Real Madrid's attacking threat is blunted by key absences including Thibaut Courtois (muscle tear), Rodrygo (cruciate ligament), and Ferland Mendy (muscle injury), while Bayern benefits from Harry Kane's return to training and Vincent Kompany's side's strong recent form, including a 6-1 rout of Atalanta. Home advantage, momentum, and Madrid's defensive vulnerabilities position the draw (19.5%) and Real win (21.5%) as competitive but uphill paths in this high-stakes knockout clash.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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