Bayern Munich's 2-1 first-leg victory at the Santiago Bernabéu on April 7—fueled by Harry Kane's goal on his ankle injury return and Luis Díaz's opener—has solidified trader consensus favoring the hosts at 61.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena. Real Madrid, trailing on aggregate, face mounting challenges with Thibaut Courtois sidelined by thigh injury for both legs, Rodrygo out long-term with a knee issue, Ferland Mendy unavailable, and Aurélien Tchouaméni suspended, thinning their midfield. Bayern's near-full squad, including Manuel Neuer's return and Vincent Kompany's tactical edge in recent form, tempers Real's 21.5% comeback odds and elevates draw pricing to 19.5% amid high-stakes tension.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIf FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bayern Munich's 2-1 first-leg victory at the Santiago Bernabéu on April 7—fueled by Harry Kane's goal on his ankle injury return and Luis Díaz's opener—has solidified trader consensus favoring the hosts at 61.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg at Allianz Arena. Real Madrid, trailing on aggregate, face mounting challenges with Thibaut Courtois sidelined by thigh injury for both legs, Rodrygo out long-term with a knee issue, Ferland Mendy unavailable, and Aurélien Tchouaméni suspended, thinning their midfield. Bayern's near-full squad, including Manuel Neuer's return and Vincent Kompany's tactical edge in recent form, tempers Real's 21.5% comeback odds and elevates draw pricing to 19.5% amid high-stakes tension.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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