Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, driven by their explosive recent form including a 10-2 aggregate demolition of Atalanta and 32 goals in ten UCL outings this season, offsetting Harry Kane's ankle injury doubt from England duty that rules him out of Saturday's Bundesliga clash but leaves cautious optimism from coach Vincent Kompany. Real Madrid CF sits at 33.5% amid key absences—Thibaut Courtois sidelined for both legs with a thigh injury, Jude Bellingham unlikely to start post-hamstring recovery, Rodrygo out long-term on ACL—despite Éder Militão's return boosting the defense. The 23.5% draw price underscores a competitive tie, with Real unbeaten in their last nine head-to-heads against Bayern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, driven by their explosive recent form including a 10-2 aggregate demolition of Atalanta and 32 goals in ten UCL outings this season, offsetting Harry Kane's ankle injury doubt from England duty that rules him out of Saturday's Bundesliga clash but leaves cautious optimism from coach Vincent Kompany. Real Madrid CF sits at 33.5% amid key absences—Thibaut Courtois sidelined for both legs with a thigh injury, Jude Bellingham unlikely to start post-hamstring recovery, Rodrygo out long-term on ACL—despite Éder Militão's return boosting the defense. The 23.5% draw price underscores a competitive tie, with Real unbeaten in their last nine head-to-heads against Bayern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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