Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mentions of "Trump" at 94% implied probability, driven by the April 8 interview with Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro critiquing Trump's Iran War handling and broken promises, building on the prior week's deep dive into war costs, fertilizer crises, and U.S. involvement. AI terms like "Anthropic" (67%), "Google" (77%), and "open source" (77%) reflect persistent coverage of model races, moats, and enterprise shifts seen in recent episodes featuring Palantir/Anduril defense AI and Anthropic's edge over OpenAI. With no preview announced, bets hinge on hosts' patterns amid escalating geopolitical tensions and tech IPO hype, including SpaceX; resolution follows the April 10 release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$10,260 Vol.
AI 15+ times
76%
Silicon Valley 2+ times
33%
Structural change
16%
Mark Zuckerberg
18%
Construction
19%
Open Source
52%
Constitution
24%
Data Center
61%
Polymarket
76%
Best friend
11%
Regulatory
31%
Alignment
16%
Software
85%
Anthropic
74%
51%
Nvidia
59%
Poland
13%
Token
61%
Safety
30%
Winner
59%
China
78%
Paris
10%
Trump
95%
Cookie
13%
Deepfake
14%
$10,260 Vol.
AI 15+ times
76%
Silicon Valley 2+ times
33%
Structural change
16%
Mark Zuckerberg
18%
Construction
19%
Open Source
52%
Constitution
24%
Data Center
61%
Polymarket
76%
Best friend
11%
Regulatory
31%
Alignment
16%
Software
85%
Anthropic
74%
51%
Nvidia
59%
Poland
13%
Token
61%
Safety
30%
Winner
59%
China
78%
Paris
10%
Trump
95%
Cookie
13%
Deepfake
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mentions of "Trump" at 94% implied probability, driven by the April 8 interview with Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro critiquing Trump's Iran War handling and broken promises, building on the prior week's deep dive into war costs, fertilizer crises, and U.S. involvement. AI terms like "Anthropic" (67%), "Google" (77%), and "open source" (77%) reflect persistent coverage of model races, moats, and enterprise shifts seen in recent episodes featuring Palantir/Anduril defense AI and Anthropic's edge over OpenAI. With no preview announced, bets hinge on hosts' patterns amid escalating geopolitical tensions and tech IPO hype, including SpaceX; resolution follows the April 10 release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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