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Économie·Logement

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Économie·Logement

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

<1.154m 45%

1.154 - 1.172m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<1.154m 45%

1.154 - 1.172m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<1.154m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.154 - 1.172m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.172 - 1.19m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.19 - 1.208m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.208 - 1.226m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.226 - 1.244m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.244 - 1.262m

$0 Vol.

45%

>1.262m

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Polymarket traders price evenly distributed implied probabilities across San Francisco metro median home value bins from below $1.154 million to above $1.262 million, signaling deep uncertainty just weeks from April 30 resolution based on Parcl data. February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month but down 2% year-over-year, amid low stale inventory (under 25% regionally) fueling 7.7% year-over-year median sale price gains to $1.5 million in San Francisco proper per Redfin. Countervailing pressures include softer Santa Clara County pricing (-3.5% YoY) and persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing broader demand; key swing factors are March sales momentum and tech sector hiring ahead of May ZHVI release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Volume
$0
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Polymarket traders price evenly distributed implied probabilities across San Francisco metro median home value bins from below $1.154 million to above $1.262 million, signaling deep uncertainty just weeks from April 30 resolution based on Parcl data. February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month but down 2% year-over-year, amid low stale inventory (under 25% regionally) fueling 7.7% year-over-year median sale price gains to $1.5 million in San Francisco proper per Redfin. Countervailing pressures include softer Santa Clara County pricing (-3.5% YoY) and persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing broader demand; key swing factors are March sales momentum and tech sector hiring ahead of May ZHVI release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Volume
$0
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)

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Questions fréquentes

« What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <1.154m » à 45%, suivi de « 1.154 - 1.172m » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? » est « <1.154m » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1.154 - 1.172m » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.