Rafael Leão’s expressed desire to exit AC Milan after their missed Champions League qualification has opened the door for a summer move, with the club now willing to sell the Portuguese winger for €50-70 million. Turkish sides Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş have made the most concrete approaches, discussing salaries and structures, which explains their elevated implied probabilities in the market. Scattered Premier League interest from Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester United, alongside Barcelona links, has spread trader attention across multiple clubs without a dominant frontrunner. This competitive landscape, featuring no advanced negotiations with any single destination, keeps probabilities tightly bunched around several viable options heading into the transfer window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFenerbahce 39%
Liverpool 21%
AC Milan 12.3%
Al-Hilal 10.0%
$14,385 Vol.
$14,385 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
Fenerbahce
39%
Liverpool
21%
AC Milan
12%
Al-Hilal
8%
Arsenal
15%
Paris Saint-Germain
8%
Manchester United
7%
Chelsea
5%
Barcelona
5%
Inter Milan
3%
Bayern Munich
3%
Besiktas
-
Fenerbahce 39%
Liverpool 21%
AC Milan 12.3%
Al-Hilal 10.0%
$14,385 Vol.
$14,385 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
Fenerbahce
$2,490 Vol.
39%
Liverpool
$265 Vol.
21%
AC Milan
$6,776 Vol.
12%
Al-Hilal
$470 Vol.
8%
Arsenal
$249 Vol.
15%
Paris Saint-Germain
$255 Vol.
8%
Manchester United
$2,587 Vol.
7%
Chelsea
$493 Vol.
5%
Barcelona
$323 Vol.
5%
Inter Milan
$218 Vol.
3%
Bayern Munich
$188 Vol.
3%
Besiktas
$70 Vol.
-
This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan".
If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Rafael Leão’s expressed desire to exit AC Milan after their missed Champions League qualification has opened the door for a summer move, with the club now willing to sell the Portuguese winger for €50-70 million. Turkish sides Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş have made the most concrete approaches, discussing salaries and structures, which explains their elevated implied probabilities in the market. Scattered Premier League interest from Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester United, alongside Barcelona links, has spread trader attention across multiple clubs without a dominant frontrunner. This competitive landscape, featuring no advanced negotiations with any single destination, keeps probabilities tightly bunched around several viable options heading into the transfer window.
This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan".
If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan".
If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$14,385Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 2:49 PM ETThis market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan".
If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Rafael Leão’s expressed desire to exit AC Milan after their missed Champions League qualification has opened the door for a summer move, with the club now willing to sell the Portuguese winger for €50-70 million. Turkish sides Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş have made the most concrete approaches, discussing salaries and structures, which explains their elevated implied probabilities in the market. Scattered Premier League interest from Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester United, alongside Barcelona links, has spread trader attention across multiple clubs without a dominant frontrunner. This competitive landscape, featuring no advanced negotiations with any single destination, keeps probabilities tightly bunched around several viable options heading into the transfer window.
This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan".
If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan".
If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$14,385Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 2:49 PM ETRafael Leão’s expressed desire to exit AC Milan after their missed Champions League qualification has opened the door for a summer move, with the club now willing to sell the Portuguese winger for €50-70 million. Turkish sides Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş have made the most concrete approaches, discussing salaries and structures, which explains their elevated implied probabilities in the market. Scattered Premier League interest from Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester United, alongside Barcelona links, has spread trader attention across multiple clubs without a dominant frontrunner. This competitive landscape, featuring no advanced negotiations with any single destination, keeps probabilities tightly bunched around several viable options heading into the transfer window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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