Real Madrid holds overwhelming trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for Yan Diomande’s transfer destination, driven by confirmed agreement on personal terms, an exclusive negotiation phase, and a reported bid package exceeding €100 million with add-ons. The 19-year-old Ivorian winger’s breakout Bundesliga campaign—12 goals and strong creative output for RB Leipzig—plus his standout 2026 World Cup performances for Ivory Coast, have accelerated interest from La Liga’s top club. Diomande’s exclusion from Leipzig’s pre-season training camp in Austria further signals imminent departure, though a FIFA-level agent representation dispute between Roc Nation and prior intermediaries has introduced short-term delays without derailing Madrid’s position. Secondary options like RB Leipzig retention sit at 10.9%, while PSG, Liverpool, and others register minimal probabilities amid Madrid’s established lead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù Yan Diomande sera-t-il transféré ?
Real Madrid 82.5%
RB Leipzig 10.9%
Paris Saint-Germain 1.9%
Arsenal 1.1%
$105,541 Vol.
$105,541 Vol.
Real Madrid
83%
RB Leipzig
11%
Paris Saint-Germain
2%
Arsenal
1%
Liverpool
1%
Barcelona
<1%
Bayern Munich
<1%
Manchester City
<1%
Chelsea
<1%
Real Madrid 82.5%
RB Leipzig 10.9%
Paris Saint-Germain 1.9%
Arsenal 1.1%
$105,541 Vol.
$105,541 Vol.
Real Madrid
83%
RB Leipzig
11%
Paris Saint-Germain
2%
Arsenal
1%
Liverpool
1%
Barcelona
<1%
Bayern Munich
<1%
Manchester City
<1%
Chelsea
<1%
If Yan Diomande does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "RB Leipzig".
If Yan Diomande joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Yan Diomande is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from RB Leipzig and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Yan Diomande does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "RB Leipzig".
If Yan Diomande joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Yan Diomande is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from RB Leipzig and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Madrid holds overwhelming trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for Yan Diomande’s transfer destination, driven by confirmed agreement on personal terms, an exclusive negotiation phase, and a reported bid package exceeding €100 million with add-ons. The 19-year-old Ivorian winger’s breakout Bundesliga campaign—12 goals and strong creative output for RB Leipzig—plus his standout 2026 World Cup performances for Ivory Coast, have accelerated interest from La Liga’s top club. Diomande’s exclusion from Leipzig’s pre-season training camp in Austria further signals imminent departure, though a FIFA-level agent representation dispute between Roc Nation and prior intermediaries has introduced short-term delays without derailing Madrid’s position. Secondary options like RB Leipzig retention sit at 10.9%, while PSG, Liverpool, and others register minimal probabilities amid Madrid’s established lead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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