Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Vice President J.D. Vance led the first round of direct negotiations in Islamabad earlier this month, which collapsed over Iran's refusal to relinquish enriched uranium stockpiles, prompting a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 14. President Trump stated on April 14 that a second round of talks could resume within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan or Oman, as a temporary ceasefire nears expiration on April 21. Diplomats from Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar are facilitating arrangements, while traders weigh which Trump administration figures—such as Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, advisor Jared Kushner, or envoy Steve Witkoff—might engage Iranian counterparts before the April 30 deadline, reflecting uncertainty in diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear and Hormuz shipping talks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
30 avr. 2026
Donald Trump
8%
J.D. Vance
63%
Marco Rubio
30%
Jared Kushner
67%
Steve Witkoff
65%
$114 Vol.
Donald Trump
$8 Vol.
8%
J.D. Vance
$91 Vol.
63%
Marco Rubio
$0 Vol.
30%
Jared Kushner
$10 Vol.
67%
Steve Witkoff
$5 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Vice President J.D. Vance led the first round of direct negotiations in Islamabad earlier this month, which collapsed over Iran's refusal to relinquish enriched uranium stockpiles, prompting a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 14. President Trump stated on April 14 that a second round of talks could resume within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan or Oman, as a temporary ceasefire nears expiration on April 21. Diplomats from Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar are facilitating arrangements, while traders weigh which Trump administration figures—such as Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, advisor Jared Kushner, or envoy Steve Witkoff—might engage Iranian counterparts before the April 30 deadline, reflecting uncertainty in diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear and Hormuz shipping talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$114Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Vice President J.D. Vance led the first round of direct negotiations in Islamabad earlier this month, which collapsed over Iran's refusal to relinquish enriched uranium stockpiles, prompting a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 14. President Trump stated on April 14 that a second round of talks could resume within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan or Oman, as a temporary ceasefire nears expiration on April 21. Diplomats from Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar are facilitating arrangements, while traders weigh which Trump administration figures—such as Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, advisor Jared Kushner, or envoy Steve Witkoff—might engage Iranian counterparts before the April 30 deadline, reflecting uncertainty in diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear and Hormuz shipping talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$114Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Vice President J.D. Vance led the first round of direct negotiations in Islamabad earlier this month, which collapsed over Iran's refusal to relinquish enriched uranium stockpiles, prompting a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 14. President Trump stated on April 14 that a second round of talks could resume within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan or Oman, as a temporary ceasefire nears expiration on April 21. Diplomats from Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar are facilitating arrangements, while traders weigh which Trump administration figures—such as Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, advisor Jared Kushner, or envoy Steve Witkoff—might engage Iranian counterparts before the April 30 deadline, reflecting uncertainty in diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear and Hormuz shipping talks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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