Petr Yan’s status as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion following his unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 has anchored trader consensus around a trilogy bout. Dvalishvili’s repeated public calls for the rubber match, combined with Yan’s minor back surgery that sidelined him into summer 2026, have positioned the Georgian as the clear frontrunner in the market. Sean O’Malley sits a distant second after voicing willingness to wait for a title shot or Yan rematch, though the division’s hierarchy and scheduling priorities favor settling the Dvalishvili rivalry first. Lower-probability names such as Song Yadong and Alexander Volkanovski reflect historical or stylistic interest but lack confirmed negotiations or recent momentum. No bout has been officially announced, leaving the implied probabilities driven by ongoing recovery timelines and champion-contender dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMerab Dvalishvili 80%
Sean O’Malley 15.0%
Song Yadong 1.3%
Alexander Volkanovski 1.0%
$1,141,309 Vol.
$1,141,309 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
80%
Sean O’Malley
15%
Song Yadong
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 80%
Sean O’Malley 15.0%
Song Yadong 1.3%
Alexander Volkanovski 1.0%
$1,141,309 Vol.
$1,141,309 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
80%
Sean O’Malley
15%
Song Yadong
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan’s status as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion following his unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 has anchored trader consensus around a trilogy bout. Dvalishvili’s repeated public calls for the rubber match, combined with Yan’s minor back surgery that sidelined him into summer 2026, have positioned the Georgian as the clear frontrunner in the market. Sean O’Malley sits a distant second after voicing willingness to wait for a title shot or Yan rematch, though the division’s hierarchy and scheduling priorities favor settling the Dvalishvili rivalry first. Lower-probability names such as Song Yadong and Alexander Volkanovski reflect historical or stylistic interest but lack confirmed negotiations or recent momentum. No bout has been officially announced, leaving the implied probabilities driven by ongoing recovery timelines and champion-contender dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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