Cardi B and Stefon Diggs’ on-again, off-again dynamic and confirmed split after welcoming a son in late 2025 have anchored the slim “No” edge at 52%. Public arguments captured on video, Diggs’ guarded June comments calling her his “child’s mother,” and Cardi’s July remarks about moving on after the breakup underscore cooling momentum, while Diggs’ free-agent status adds logistical uncertainty. Traders weigh these signals against the pair’s prior reconciliations and the unpredictability of celebrity timelines. A verified reconciliation announcement, joint public appearance, or explicit statements about future plans could quickly shift the market toward “Yes,” whereas further confirmation of separation or new dating reports would solidify the current lean.