Diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the Fed funds rate holding near 3.62-3.75% while the ECB raised its key rate 25 basis points to 2.25% in mid-June 2026—its first hike in nearly three years—citing elevated inflation risks from higher energy prices. This narrowing but still wide yield differential, alongside upward revisions to ECB inflation forecasts (headline at 3.0% for 2026), has supported the pair near 1.16 amid recent volatility from geopolitical tensions. Traders are monitoring upcoming FOMC and ECB meetings, US CPI releases, and Eurozone growth data for signals on further policy divergence that could influence whether the exchange rate tests key 2026 thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$77,465 Vol.
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
9%
↑ 1,30
19%
↑ 1,26
31%
↑ 1,24
35%
↑ 1,22
50%
↑ 1,20
62%
↓ 1,14
68%
↓ 1,12
26%
↓ 1,10
23%
↓ 1,05
3%
↓ 1,00
5%
$77,465 Vol.
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
9%
↑ 1,30
19%
↑ 1,26
31%
↑ 1,24
35%
↑ 1,22
50%
↑ 1,20
62%
↓ 1,14
68%
↓ 1,12
26%
↓ 1,10
23%
↓ 1,05
3%
↓ 1,00
5%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remain the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment, with the Fed funds rate holding near 3.62-3.75% while the ECB raised its key rate 25 basis points to 2.25% in mid-June 2026—its first hike in nearly three years—citing elevated inflation risks from higher energy prices. This narrowing but still wide yield differential, alongside upward revisions to ECB inflation forecasts (headline at 3.0% for 2026), has supported the pair near 1.16 amid recent volatility from geopolitical tensions. Traders are monitoring upcoming FOMC and ECB meetings, US CPI releases, and Eurozone growth data for signals on further policy divergence that could influence whether the exchange rate tests key 2026 thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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