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icon for Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ?
Finance·ICP

Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ?

icon for Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ?
Finance·ICP

Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ?

Ended: juil. 29

Ended: juil. 29

$6,368 Vol.

29 juil. 2026
Polymarket

$6,368 Vol.

Polymarket

58 milliards de dollars

$1,266 Vol.

Oui

58,5 milliards de dollars

$462 Vol.

Oui

59 milliards $

$1,291 Vol.

Oui

59,5 milliards de dollars

$1,294 Vol.

Non

60 milliards de dollars

$2,054 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft’s fiscal Q4 2026 cloud results, covering the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure and server products, will be reported in late July earnings and are guided for 39-40% constant-currency growth in Azure and other cloud services. Recent quarters show sustained momentum, with Intelligent Cloud revenue rising 28-29% year-over-year and Azure expanding 39-40%, fueled by AI infrastructure demand, capacity additions, and enterprise adoption across workloads. Traders are monitoring whether actual outcomes exceed consensus estimates amid elevated capital expenditures of roughly $190 billion for calendar 2026 and potential supply constraints. Key swing factors include consumption-based AI revenue trends and any revisions to forward guidance relative to the $54 billion-plus Microsoft Cloud run rate seen in the prior quarter.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$6,368
Date de fin
29 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 9:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft’s fiscal Q4 2026 cloud results, covering the Intelligent Cloud segment that includes Azure and server products, will be reported in late July earnings and are guided for 39-40% constant-currency growth in Azure and other cloud services. Recent quarters show sustained momentum, with Intelligent Cloud revenue rising 28-29% year-over-year and Azure expanding 39-40%, fueled by AI infrastructure demand, capacity additions, and enterprise adoption across workloads. Traders are monitoring whether actual outcomes exceed consensus estimates amid elevated capital expenditures of roughly $190 billion for calendar 2026 and potential supply constraints. Key swing factors include consumption-based AI revenue trends and any revisions to forward guidance relative to the $54 billion-plus Microsoft Cloud run rate seen in the prior quarter.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$6,368
Date de fin
29 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 9:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's total Cloud revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 58 milliards de dollars » à 100%, suivi de « 58,5 milliards de dollars » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ? » est « 58 milliards de dollars » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 58,5 milliards de dollars » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Les revenus de Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud seront-ils supérieurs à __ ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.