Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland, combined with procedural barriers under international law and the U.S. Constitution, drives the near-certain trader consensus against acquisition by the end of 2026. Danish leaders have repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic officials and residents have rejected U.S. sovereignty in favor of continued ties to Copenhagen or full independence. Early 2026 negotiations produced expanded security cooperation and limits on rival investments rather than any transfer of ownership. High estimated costs near $1 trillion and the requirement for two-thirds Senate approval for any treaty further reduce prospects. A late diplomatic reversal, shift in Greenlandic public opinion, or breakthrough tied to Arctic security arrangements could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
$35,433,988 Vol.
$35,433,988 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$35,433,988 Vol.
$35,433,988 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland, combined with procedural barriers under international law and the U.S. Constitution, drives the near-certain trader consensus against acquisition by the end of 2026. Danish leaders have repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic officials and residents have rejected U.S. sovereignty in favor of continued ties to Copenhagen or full independence. Early 2026 negotiations produced expanded security cooperation and limits on rival investments rather than any transfer of ownership. High estimated costs near $1 trillion and the requirement for two-thirds Senate approval for any treaty further reduce prospects. A late diplomatic reversal, shift in Greenlandic public opinion, or breakthrough tied to Arctic security arrangements could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$35,433,988Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland, combined with procedural barriers under international law and the U.S. Constitution, drives the near-certain trader consensus against acquisition by the end of 2026. Danish leaders have repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic officials and residents have rejected U.S. sovereignty in favor of continued ties to Copenhagen or full independence. Early 2026 negotiations produced expanded security cooperation and limits on rival investments rather than any transfer of ownership. High estimated costs near $1 trillion and the requirement for two-thirds Senate approval for any treaty further reduce prospects. A late diplomatic reversal, shift in Greenlandic public opinion, or breakthrough tied to Arctic security arrangements could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$35,433,988Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland, combined with procedural barriers under international law and the U.S. Constitution, drives the near-certain trader consensus against acquisition by the end of 2026. Danish leaders have repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic officials and residents have rejected U.S. sovereignty in favor of continued ties to Copenhagen or full independence. Early 2026 negotiations produced expanded security cooperation and limits on rival investments rather than any transfer of ownership. High estimated costs near $1 trillion and the requirement for two-thirds Senate approval for any treaty further reduce prospects. A late diplomatic reversal, shift in Greenlandic public opinion, or breakthrough tied to Arctic security arrangements could still alter the outcome before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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