Traders assign a 96.9% probability that President Trump will not acquire Greenland before 2027 because Denmark and Greenland have repeatedly rejected any transfer of sovereignty, with leaders stating the territory is not for sale and emphasizing self-determination under existing home-rule arrangements. Ongoing U.S.-Danish talks since early 2025 have focused on expanded military access and security cooperation rather than ownership, while NATO alliance pressures and European opposition have constrained escalation options. The short remaining timeframe through 2026 limits prospects for a negotiated purchase or other arrangement amid competing priorities such as the Iran conflict. Late developments like a sudden Greenland independence vote followed by rapid bilateral agreement or major concessions on strategic assets could still shift outcomes, though current positions indicate substantial barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
$35,429,550 Vol.
$35,429,550 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$35,429,550 Vol.
$35,429,550 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign a 96.9% probability that President Trump will not acquire Greenland before 2027 because Denmark and Greenland have repeatedly rejected any transfer of sovereignty, with leaders stating the territory is not for sale and emphasizing self-determination under existing home-rule arrangements. Ongoing U.S.-Danish talks since early 2025 have focused on expanded military access and security cooperation rather than ownership, while NATO alliance pressures and European opposition have constrained escalation options. The short remaining timeframe through 2026 limits prospects for a negotiated purchase or other arrangement amid competing priorities such as the Iran conflict. Late developments like a sudden Greenland independence vote followed by rapid bilateral agreement or major concessions on strategic assets could still shift outcomes, though current positions indicate substantial barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$35,429,550Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign a 96.9% probability that President Trump will not acquire Greenland before 2027 because Denmark and Greenland have repeatedly rejected any transfer of sovereignty, with leaders stating the territory is not for sale and emphasizing self-determination under existing home-rule arrangements. Ongoing U.S.-Danish talks since early 2025 have focused on expanded military access and security cooperation rather than ownership, while NATO alliance pressures and European opposition have constrained escalation options. The short remaining timeframe through 2026 limits prospects for a negotiated purchase or other arrangement amid competing priorities such as the Iran conflict. Late developments like a sudden Greenland independence vote followed by rapid bilateral agreement or major concessions on strategic assets could still shift outcomes, though current positions indicate substantial barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volume
$35,429,550Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.9% probability that President Trump will not acquire Greenland before 2027 because Denmark and Greenland have repeatedly rejected any transfer of sovereignty, with leaders stating the territory is not for sale and emphasizing self-determination under existing home-rule arrangements. Ongoing U.S.-Danish talks since early 2025 have focused on expanded military access and security cooperation rather than ownership, while NATO alliance pressures and European opposition have constrained escalation options. The short remaining timeframe through 2026 limits prospects for a negotiated purchase or other arrangement amid competing priorities such as the Iran conflict. Late developments like a sudden Greenland independence vote followed by rapid bilateral agreement or major concessions on strategic assets could still shift outcomes, though current positions indicate substantial barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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