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Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ?

Market icon

Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ?

Oui

2% chance
Polymarket

$207,565 Vol.

Oui

2% chance
Polymarket

$207,565 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify.

A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count.

A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$207,565
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify. A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count. A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify.

A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count.

A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$207,565
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify. A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count. A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ? » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 2¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 2% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ? » a généré $207.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ? » est « Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ? » à seulement 2%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Trump va-t-il couper le commerce avec l'Espagne ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.